The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toluca 90.4%
Draw 7.2%
Necaxa 2.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
89.9%
7.7%
2.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Toluca - Necaxa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Martinez V. (G) 23. Diaz B. 5. Erceg A. 16. Fernandez L. 28. Henry A. 99. Le Sommer E. 2. Martinez K. 7. Peraza C. (C) 25. Robert F. 4. Rodriguez Perez Y. 9. Roman M.
25. Amaro J. (G) 15. Bracamonte F. 11. Fernandez I. 14. Lizeth Quiroz Tinoco T. 52. Medellin Z. 20. Mendez A. 23. Navarro Flores A. A. 9. Peralta W. (C) 27. Porras S. 17. Torres A. 24. Vinolas Hernandez X.
Substitutes
14. Blackwood D. 8. Fernandez K. 11. Guatemala D. 17. Jakobsson S. 31. Jimenez S. (G) 3. Lopez J. 26. Munoz I. 15. Ramirez M. 21. Valadez N.
21. Barnett J. 4. Cavanaugh M. L. 7. Edwards A. 77. Herbert N. 18. Lopez K. 58. Roque Elizondo N. J. 66. Salto P. 22. Terzian Jensen A. 2. Velarde Mata A. E. (G)
Coaches
Lair P.
Astorga C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Martinez K. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
26', Robert F. 🟨,
43', Bracamonte F. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Mendez A. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
46', Medellin Z. ↓, Cavanaugh M. L. ↑,
46', Diaz B. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
46', Roman M. ↓, Jakobsson S. ↑,
47', Ramirez M. 🟨,
53', 2 - 0, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
54', Rodriguez Perez Y. ↓, Blackwood D. ↑,
54', Peraza C. ↓, Fernandez K. ↑,
57', Fernandez I. ↓, Barnett J. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Lizeth Quiroz Tinoco T. ⚽,
61', 3 - 1, Jakobsson S. ⚽,
70', Martinez K. ↓, Guatemala D. ↑,
82', 4 - 1, Robert F. ⚽,
83', Lizeth Quiroz Tinoco T. ↓, Roque Elizondo N. J. ↑,
86', Bracamonte F. ↓, Herbert N. ↑,
87', Navarro Flores A. A. 🟨,
89', 5 - 1, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 4.
Recent performances by Toluca have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Necaxa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Toluca is the obvious favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:10. (average 1.9:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).