Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup

Date: 5 August 2024, Monday

Location: Dick's Sporting Goods Park (Commerce City, CO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV


	Club León		Colorado Rapids

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.7	2.1	Watch
	2.95	3.4	2.05
	3.2	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.29	3.79	2.21
	3.25	3.75	2.1	Watch
	3.2	3.7	2.13	Watch
	3.2	3.6	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.4)	3.65 ↑ (3.5)	2.11 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club León
29.7%

Draw
25.8%

Colorado Rapids
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

25.9%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

26.7%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club León has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Club León's form might have worsened.

Colorado Rapids has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colorado Rapids's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club León than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club León, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Rapids than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colorado Rapids, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	27.3%	63.6%

Club León - Colorado Rapids Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. León will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Colorado will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colorado: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Blanco A. (G) 21. Barreiro S. 25. Bellon P. 26. Reyes S. 5. Ambriz F. 15. Guerra E. 16. Medina A. 13. Alcivar J. 11. Mendoza S. 29. Cadiz J. 22. Frias A.	95. Steffen Z. (G) 2. Rosenberry K. 64. Bombito M. 5. Maxso A. 3. Vines S. 20. Ronan C. 18. Larraz O. 14. Harris C. 23. Bassett C. 7. Lewis J. 9. Rafael Navarro
Substitutes
34. Barajas V. 23. Garcia O. (G) 18. Guardado A. 17. Hernandez D. 2. Isais M. 12. Jimenez O. (G) 235. Lomeli D. 7. Moreno I. 28. Ramirez D. 24. Rodriguez O. 31. Santos S. 33. Uribe H.	6. Abubakar L. 22. Anderson S. 41. Bandre E. (G) 34. Edwards M. 11. Fernandez O. 24. Frederick W. 21. Loffelsend J. 10. Mihailovic D. 27. Stewart-Baynes K. 99. Travis J. 77. Yapi D.
Coaches
Bava J.	Armas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Frias A. ↓, Guardado A. ↑,
40', Ronan C. 🟨,
45', Bassett C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Medina A. ↓, Moreno I. ↑,
54', Ronan C. ↓, Mihailovic D. ↑,
58', Bellon P. 🟨,
64', Ambriz F. 🟨,
73', Harris C. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
74', Ambriz F. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Guerra E. ⚽,
82', Lewis J. ↓, Stewart-Baynes K. ↑,
82', Larraz O. ↓, Yapi D. ↑,
90+3', Alcivar J. ↓, Rodriguez O. ↑,
90+5', Rafael Navarro 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 1, Rafael Navarro ⚽, Rosenberry K. (A),
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Mihailovic D. (Pen),
1, Cadiz J. (Pen),
2, Bassett C. (Pen),
2, Barreiro S. (Pen),
3, Rafael Navarro (Pen),
3, Guardado A. (Pen),
4, Bombito M. (Pen),
4, Mendoza S. (Pen),
5, Maxso A. (Pen),
5, Reyes S. (Pen),

Preview

León is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Colorado is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

León could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Colorado will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in León: Moreno I. (Injury) Ramirez D. (Injury)

There will not play in Colorado: Chacon D. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club León
CONCACAF League Cup
28.07.24	Club León - Portland Timbers	1:2 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
21.07.24	Club León - Necaxa	1:1 ✺
16.07.24	Puebla - Club León	2:2 ✺
13.07.24	Club León - Pachuca	0:0 ✺
07.07.24	UNAM - Club León	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTTTL
- Colorado Rapids
CONCACAF League Cup
01.08.24	Portland Timbers - Colorado Rapids	4:0 ✺
MLS
20.07.24	Colorado Rapids - Real Salt Lake	3:2 ✺
17.07.24	Los Angeles Galaxy - Colorado Rapids	3:2 ✺
13.07.24	Colorado Rapids - New York Red Bulls	1:1 ✺
07.07.24	Colorado Rapids - St. Louis City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLTW

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