Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Mexico City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	VIX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN App, UniMas, Univision


	UNAM		Club León

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.50	3.10
	2.12	3.4	3.2
	2.18	3.66	3.32
	2.22	3.58	3.1	Watch
	2.17	3.55	3.15
	2.12	3.56	3.11	Watch
	2.12	3.5	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.07)	3.53 ↑ (3.45)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNAM
43.8%

Draw
26.6%

Club León
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

26.8%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

27.9%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club León than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

UNAM - Club León Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 1 - 25%). León will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Navas K. (C) 7. Lopez R. 6. Nathan Silva 5. Duarte R. 12. Calderon C. 14. Herrera L. 45. Vite P. 21. Antuna U. 31. Morales R. 18. Arteaga V. 23. Juninho	23. Garcia O. (G) 7. Moreno I. 14. Romana J. 25. Bellon P. 185. Mora C. 29. Rodriguez I. (C) 16. Cortizo J. 8. Dominguez Chonteco J. P. 13. Arcila D. 11. Diaz I. 19. Alvarado A.
Substitutes
34. Azuaje A. 8. Carrasquilla A. 202. Dominguez J. 35. Lara P. (G) 30. Lopez S. 15. Luna I. 22. Medina A. 13. Monroy P. 19. Rivas J. 20. Trigos S.	6. Beltran Cruz F. 27. Cambindo D. 4. Colula B. 20. Echeverria R. 15. Fierro S. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 203. Lara J. 26. Reyes S. 5. Vegas S. 33. Villegas A.
Coaches
Solari E.	Gandolfi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Calderon C. ↓, Azuaje A. ↑,
23', Azuaje A. 🟨,
43', Dominguez Chonteco J. P. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Juninho ⚽, Lopez R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ↓, Cambindo D. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Alvarado A. ⚽,
61', Rodriguez I. ↓, Echeverria R. ↑,
65', Antuna U. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Morales R. ⚽, Herrera L. (A),
71', Alvarado A. ↓, Beltran Cruz F. ↑,
71', Mora C. ↓, Reyes S. ↑,
74', Arteaga V. ↓, Luna I. ↑,
74', Juninho ↓, Carrasquilla A. ↑,
74', Lopez R. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Vite P. ⚽, Medina A. (A),
90+4', Herrera L. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 3.

Recent form of UNAM has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

León is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

UNAM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

UNAM might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Club Leon	11	5	3	3	15:12	3	18
13	UNAM Pumas	10	3	3	4	14:16	-2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Club León - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.47%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNAM Pumas
Mexican Liga MX
28.08.26	Tijuana - UNAM	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	UNAM - Necaxa	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	UNAM - Querétaro	0:0 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
11.08.26	Columbus Crew - UNAM	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	Cincinnati - UNAM	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTTTL
- Club León
CONCACAF League Cup
06.09.26	Club León - Club América	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	Toluca - Club León	2:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
28.08.26	Atlante - Club León	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF League Cup
25.08.26	Club León - Real Salt Lake	3:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
21.08.26	Club León - Monterrey	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
18.01.26	UNAM - Club León	1:1
25.10.25	Club León - UNAM	1:1
30.03.25	Club León - UNAM	1:2
07.07.24	UNAM - Club León	4:1
14.04.24	UNAM - Club León	1:0
31.10.23	Club León - UNAM	1:1
22.01.23	UNAM - Club León	4:1

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