The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puebla 32.6%
Draw 28%
Club León 39.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
27.5%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.4%
26.3%
42.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Club León has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club León than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
28.6%
71.4%
Puebla - Club León Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. León will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Gutierrez D. (G) 12. Moreno I. 5. Almada F. 4. Vargas J. 7. Monarrez F. 24. Organista A. 16. Ramirez A. 27. Garnica B. 10. Tomas M. 8. Moreno Villegas O. F. (C) 9. Hernandez L.
181. Martinez I. (G) 7. Moreno I. 14. Romana J. 3. Guevara J. 26. Reyes S. 29. Rodriguez I. (C) 18. Guerra E. 203. Lara J. 6. Beltran Cruz F. 11. Diaz I. 27. Cambindo D.
Substitutes
14. Armenta E. 3. Herrera A. 25. Jurado H. 2. Leyva A. 19. Maestro I. 29. Mustre E. 20. Pachuca Martinez J. R. 33. Rodriguez J. (G) 15. Villa O.
19. Alvarado A. 13. Arcila D. 25. Bellon P. 4. Colula B. 16. Cortizo J. 8. Dominguez Chonteco J. P. 20. Echeverria R. 23. Garcia O. (G) 5. Vegas S. 33. Villegas A.
Coaches
Espinoza G.
Gandolfi J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Diaz I. ⚽, Cambindo D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lara J. 🟨,
56', Tomas M. ↓, Maestro I. ↑,
56', Hernandez L. ↓, Mustre E. ↑,
57', Beltran Cruz F. ↓, Cortizo J. ↑,
57', Diaz I. ↓, Arcila D. ↑,
58', Lara J. ↓, Echeverria R. ↑,
66', Moreno Villegas O. F. ↓, Jurado H. ↑,
70', Guerra E. ↓, Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ↑,
80', Jurado H. 🟨,
80', Monarrez F. ↓, Villa O. ↑,
81', Organista A. ↓, Armenta E. ↑,
86', Cambindo D. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Armenta E. ⚽, Vargas J. (A),
90+1', Cortizo J. 🟥,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th and 5th in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Puebla (last 5 matches: 1 win).
León is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Puebla: Mustre E.
(Ankle Injury).
Confirmed absences for León: Valadez L.
(Foot Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Puebla: Navarro E.
(Injury)
Velasco K.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for León: Estrada A.
(Broken Leg).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Puebla has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:30 (averaging 1.3:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Puebla against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 15:17 goals (averaging 1.5:1.7 per game).