Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio León (León)

Referee: Molina Astorga M. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win Sports
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Club León		Mazatlan

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.65	3.95	4.7	Watch
	1.68	4.18	4.95
	1.69	4.08	4.43	Watch
	1.66	4.27	4.82	Watch
	1.65	3.9	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.62)	4.1 ↑ (3.75)	4.68 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club León
56.9%

Draw
23%

Mazatlan
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

23.9%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

22.7%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club León has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club León than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Club León - Mazatlan Predictions

Users Predictions: Club León will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Club León will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Garcia O. (G) 31. Santos S. 21. Barreiro S. 25. Bellon P. 26. Reyes S. 4. Fonseca N. 20. Echeverria R. 13. Arcila D. 10. Rodriguez J. (C) 11. Diaz I. 18. Funes Mori R.	1. Gutierrez D. (G) 15. Colula B. 5. Almada F. 19. Merolla L. 14. Zaleta M. 16. Esquivel J. 11. Barcenas Y. 10. Benedetti N. (C) 23. Sierra J. 34. Moreno Villegas O. F. 9. Duarte A.
Substitutes
14. Ayon E. 6. Beltran Cruz F. 16. Cortizo J. 27. Estrada A. 2. Gauthier V. 12. Jimenez O. (G) 7. Moreno I. 28. Ramirez D. 19. Rodriguez E. 15. Villa O.	13. Alcaraz Diaz V. A. (G) 4. Diaz J. 7. Dudu 8. Fierro S. 2. Garcia J. 199. Gonzalez I. 28. Hernandez D. 20. Lainez M. 26. Leyva A. 6. Meraz R.
Coaches
Berizzo E.	Siboldi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. (Pen),
45+5', 2 - 0, Diaz I. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Arcila D. ↓, Beltran Cruz F. ↑,
60', Merolla L. 🟨,
60', Sierra J. 🟨,
61', 2 - 1, Duarte A. ⚽, Esquivel J. (A),
65', 2 - 2, Duarte A. ⚽,
69', Zaleta M. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
72', Moreno Villegas O. F. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
72', Funes Mori R. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
73', Santos S. ↓, Moreno I. ↑,
82', Reyes S. ↓, Cortizo J. ↑,
83', Sierra J. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
83', Esquivel J. ↓, Meraz R. ↑,
84', Barcenas Y. ↓, Fierro S. ↑,
90+5', Lainez M. 🟨,
90+6', Meraz R. 🟨,
90+7', Duarte A. 🟨,
90+13', Barreiro S. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, León won 3.

In recent matches, León has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mazatlan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, León is a strong favorite.

There will not play in León: Rodriguez J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Mazatlan: Herrera A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Mazatlan: Intriago J. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, León won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, León won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club León
Mexican Liga MX
19.09.25	Tijuana - Club León	5:0 ✺
13.09.25	Tigres UANL - Club León	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Club León - Querétaro	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Club León - Pachuca	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Necaxa - Club León	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LTWTW
- Mazatlan FC
Mexican Liga MX
19.09.25	Mazatlan - Atlas	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Mazatlan - UNAM	1:4 ✺
29.08.25	Juárez - Mazatlan	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Mazatlan - Tigres UANL	2:2 ✺
17.08.25	Monterrey - Mazatlan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
31.01.25	Mazatlan - Club León	1:2
05.11.24	Club León - Mazatlan	0:0
30.01.24	Mazatlan - Club León	2:2
18.08.23	Club León - Mazatlan	2:1
24.03.23	Mazatlan - Club León	1:2
13.08.22	Club León - Mazatlan	0:3
20.03.22	Mazatlan - Club León	1:2

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