The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mazatlan 28%
Draw 28.5%
UNAM 43.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.4%
28.1%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.3%
28%
44.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
44.4%
44.4%
Mazatlan - UNAM Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Mazatlan will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). UNAM will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for UNAM: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Mazatlan (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - UNAM (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mazatlan (votes: 1 - 50%). UNAM (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gutierrez D. (G) 19. Merolla L. 5. Almada F. 15. Colula B. 14. Zaleta M. 8. Fierro S. 23. Sierra J. 10. Benedetti N. (C) 7. Dudu 34. Moreno Villegas O. F. 90. Fabio Gomes
1. Navas K. (C) 2. Bennevendo P. 6. Nathan Silva 215. Azuaje A. 5. Duarte R. 20. Trigos S. 8. Caicedo J. 7. Lopez R. 10. Ramsey A. 17. Ruvalcaba J. 9. Martinez G.
Substitutes
11. Barcenas Y. 9. Duarte A. 16. Esquivel J. 2. Garcia J. 199. Gonzalez I. 28. Hernandez D. 20. Lainez M. 26. Leyva A. 6. Meraz R. 33. Rodriguez R. (G)
77. Angulo A. 28. Carrasquilla A. 246. Garcia S. 35. Lara P. (G) 310. Leon A. 11. Macias J. 22. Medina A. 13. Monroy P. 15. Rivas U. 45. Vite P.
Coaches
Siboldi R.
Juarez E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
9', Almada F. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Martinez G. (Pen),
14', Martinez G. 🟨,
18', Bennevendo P. 🟨,
30', Trigos S. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 2, Martinez G. ⚽, Ruvalcaba J. (A),
45+8', 1 - 2, Fabio Gomes ⚽, Moreno Villegas O. F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Dudu ↓, Barcenas Y. ↑,
54', Nathan Silva 🟨,
57', Benedetti N. (Pen),
59', Caicedo J. 🟨,
60', Ramsey A. ↓, Carrasquilla A. ↑,
60', Lopez R. ↓, Angulo A. ↑,
67', Moreno Villegas O. F. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
67', Fierro S. ↓, Duarte A. ↑,
75', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
76', Sierra J. ↓, Esquivel J. ↑,
76', Esquivel J. 🟨,
83', Martinez G. ↓, Macias J. ↑,
83', Zaleta M. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 3, Medina A. ⚽, Macias J. (A),
90+12', 1 - 4, Macias J. (Pen),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 0.
Recent form of Mazatlan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, UNAM has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
UNAM could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Mazatlan: Herrera A.
(Injury)
There will not play in UNAM: Lara P.
(Injury)
Lopez S.
(Finger Injury)
There are questionable in Mazatlan: Diaz J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Esquivel J.
(Muscle Injury)
Intriago J.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).
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Gutierrez D. (G) 
Merolla L. 
Sierra J. 
Benedetti N. (C) 
Dudu 
Navas K. (C) 
Duarte R. 
Ramsey A. 
Barcenas Y. 
Duarte A. 
Leon A. 
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