Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 26

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday


	Redditch United		Coalville Town

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.25
	2.6	3.6	2.3
	2.71	3.67	2.31
	2.72	3.67	2.31
	2.6	3.75	2.1
	2.66	3.44	2.3
	2.6	3.6	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.32)	3.6 ↓ (3.69)	2.27 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Redditch United
34.6%

Draw
25.2%

Coalville Town
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

24.3%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

23.7%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Redditch United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Coalville Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Redditch United than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Redditch United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Redditch won 0.

Redditch is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Coalville is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Coalville could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Coalville have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Redditch won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Redditch won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Redditch United
English Southern League Central Division
01.01.24	Stourbridge - Redditch United	0:1 ✺
26.12.23	Redditch United - Alvechurch	1:0 ✺
23.12.23	Kettering Town - Redditch United	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Redditch United - Sudbury Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
12.12.23	Radcliffe - Redditch United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWL
- Coalville Town
English Southern League Central Division
26.12.23	Barwell - Coalville Town	0:0 ✺
23.12.23	Coalville Town - Royston Town	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Needham Market - Coalville Town	0:0 ✺
05.12.23	Alvechurch - Coalville Town	1:4 ✺
02.12.23	Stratford Town - Coalville Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
12.09.23	Coalville Town - Redditch United	2:0
25.02.23	Redditch United - Coalville Town	0:1
11.10.22	Coalville Town - Redditch United	2:2
18.12.21	Coalville Town - Redditch United	2:0
27.09.21	Redditch United - Coalville Town	1:4
29.09.20	Coalville Town - Redditch United	1:1
17.09.19	Redditch United - Coalville Town	2:3

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