Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 15

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday


	Coalville Town		Sudbury Town

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	7
	1.32	6.22	6.15
	1.33	6.22	6.15
	1.31	5.2	6.85
	1.33	5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.44)	5.53 ↑ (4.5)	6.63 ↑ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coalville Town
69.5%

Draw
16.6%

Sudbury Town
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

20.1%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

19%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coalville Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coalville Town's performance.

Sudbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sudbury Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Coalville Town - Sudbury Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Coalville is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sudbury is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sudbury could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Coalville is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Coalville to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Coalville won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Coalville won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coalville Town
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Coalville Town - Boston United	2:1 penalties ✺
English Southern League Central Division
11.11.23	Coalville Town - Kettering Town	3:1 ✺
07.11.23	Coalville Town - St Ives Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Alvechurch - Coalville Town	0:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
24.10.23	Long Eaton United - Coalville Town	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWW
- Sudbury Town
English Southern League Central Division
18.11.23	Sudbury Town - Leamington	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Long Eaton United - Sudbury Town	1:6 ✺
04.11.23	Sudbury Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Hitchin Town - Sudbury Town	2:1 ✺
14.10.23	Halesowen Town - Sudbury Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
01.10.22	Coalville Town - Sudbury Town	3:0

Coalville Town - Sudbury Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide