The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cobán Imperial 58.4%
Draw 24.9%
Malacateco 16.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.5%
28.2%
24.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
27.1%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cobán Imperial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cobán Imperial's performance.
Malacateco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Malacateco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobán Imperial than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cobán Imperial that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Malacateco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cobán Imperial - Malacateco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
55. Casas T. (G) 8. Alvarez Y. 17. Cabrera A. 14. De Leon L. 12. Ical A. 28. Janderson 21. Leal Ramirez B. J. 32. Sandoval J. 4. Thales 2. Torres D. 77. Winter J.
. Guzman A. (G) . Andrade N. . Castaneda J. . Chun M. . Esqueda Romero J. A. . Longo J. . Meneses R. . Morales F. . Ochoa J. . Quinones E. . Soto A.
Substitutes
22. Aldana B. 9. Amaral U. 80. Amaya W. 31. Chen D. 11. Moreira M. 20. Paredes S. 23. Romero J. (G) . Teni S. 19. Valdez K.
. Correa J. . Cummings H. . de Leon I. . Morales A. . Paz V. . Rendon C. (G) . Sanchez D. . Trigueno J. . Vasquez G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Winter J. ⚽,
18', Castaneda J. 🟨,
38', Cabrera A. 🟨,
39', Alvarez Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Andrade N. ↓, Paz V. ↑,
46', Quinones E. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
46', Sandoval J. ↓, Amaya W. ↑,
46', Ical A. ↓, Valdez K. ↑,
46', Longo J. ↓, Vasquez G. ↑,
54', Alvarez Y. ↓, Paredes S. ↑,
66', Thales 🟨,
67', Thales ↓, Teni S. ↑,
75', 🟨,
78', 2 - 0, Valdez K. ⚽,
81', Winter J. ↓, Amaral U. ↑,
84', Soto A. ↓, de Leon I. ↑,
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 11th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobán Imperial won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Bookmakers give the edge to Cobán Imperial for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cobán Imperial has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:23 (averaging 0.9:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cobán Imperial against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 14:8 goals (averaging 1.6:0.9 per game).
Mexico
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Casas T. (G) 
Alvarez Y. 
Janderson 
Torres D. 
Castaneda J. 
Quinones E. 
Cummings H. 
Sanchez D. 
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