Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Santa Lucía (Malacatán)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Azteca Guatemala
Mexico	Claro Sports
Venezuela	Inter


	Malacateco		Deportivo Mixco

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.50	4.33
	1.68	3.40	4.25
	1.72	3.71	4.62
	1.72	3.69	4.59	Watch
	1.67	3.65	4.55
	1.76	3.61	4.48
	1.65	3.50	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.68)	3.58 ↑ (3.4)	4.46 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malacateco
54%

Draw
25.5%

Deportivo Mixco
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

26.2%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

25.5%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malacateco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Deportivo Mixco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Malacateco - Deportivo Mixco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Guzman A. (G) . Andrade N. . Castanon J. . Esqueda Romero J. A. . Longo J. . Meneses R. . Morales F. . Ochoa J. . Quinones E. . Soto A. . Vasquez G.	30. Moscoso K. (C) 10. Arce G. 2. Flores N. 15. Gomez M. 6. Jimenez C. 14. Marroquin R. 99. Martinez N. 5. Mendez D. 11. Pozuelos Y. 33. Sotomayor J. 16. Urizar J.
Substitutes
. Comayagua R. . Cummings H. . de Leon I. . Laparra J. . Morales A. . Quinteros F. . Rendon C. . Trigueno J.	13. Chinchilla J. . García E. 24. Gonzalez O. 26. Jerry 8. Lemus K. 23. Padilla M. (G) . Ruiz J. 19. Zuniga E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Urizar J. 🟥,
25', 🟨,
29', Martinez N. 🟥,
45+1', Esqueda Romero J. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vasquez G. ↓, Trigueno J. ↑,
46', Longo J. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Ochoa J. ⚽,
66', Arce G. ↓, Jerry ↑,
73', Pozuelos Y. ↓, García E. ↑,
73', Gomez M. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
79', Jerry 🟨,
81', Meneses R. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
81', Morales F. ↓, de Leon I. ↑,
88', Jimenez C. ↓, Lemus K. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 9th and 5th in the Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malacateco won 1.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Malacateco carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Malacateco has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:20 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Malacateco against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 17:7 goals (averaging 1.9:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Deportivo Mixco	11	6	0	5	19:17	2	18
11	Malacateco	12	3	3	6	12:19	-7	12

Last Results with these Odds

Malacateco - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 52.93%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
13.09.26	Municipal - Malacateco	2:2 ✺
10.09.26	Malacateco - Antigua GFC	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Malacateco - Suchitepéquez	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Aurora - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Malacateco - Deportivo San Pedro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLWLW
- Deportivo Mixco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
13.09.26	Deportivo Mixco - Aurora	3:2 ✺
09.09.26	Deportivo San Pedro - Deportivo Mixco	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Deportivo Mixco - Comunicaciones	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Xelajú - Deportivo Mixco	4:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
27.08.26	Deportivo Mixco - Alianza Panama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
14.03.26	Malacateco - Deportivo Mixco	1:2
25.01.26	Deportivo Mixco - Malacateco	1:0
12.10.25	Deportivo Mixco - Malacateco	4:1
01.08.25	Malacateco - Deportivo Mixco	1:2
16.04.25	Malacateco - Deportivo Mixco	2:1
12.02.25	Deportivo Mixco - Malacateco	2:1
09.11.24	Deportivo Mixco - Malacateco	2:0

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