The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cobán Imperial 58.9%
Draw 24.6%
Aurora 16.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.1%
25.1%
17.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.8%
24%
17%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cobán Imperial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobán Imperial than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Cobán Imperial - Aurora Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
55. Casas T. (G) 17. Cabrera A. 14. De Leon L. 28. Janderson (C) 21. Leal Ramirez B. J. 11. Moreira M. 16. Soto E. 4. Thales 2. Torres D. 19. Valdez K. 9. Winter C.
22. Sanchez L. (G) 3. Acosta M. 17. Bajan D. 14. Echeverria Perez A. J. 15. Garcia K. 18. Grajeda J. 67. Hernandez R. 5. Lemus J. 4. Monterroso C. 13. Morales H. 10. Vivas J.
Substitutes
80. Amaya W. 10. Calabrese B. 31. Chen D. . Ical A. 20. Paredes S. 23. Romero J. (G) 18. Rosas L. 32. Sandoval J. . Teni S.
16. Batres J. 29. Del Cid H. 25. Diaz A. . Gomez D. 33. Gomez J. 11. Ibarguen E. 1. Navas D. (G) 28. Ticuru J. 31. Urias V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Janderson ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Morales H. ⚽,
36', 🟨,
45', De Leon L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Cabrera A. ↓, Paredes S. ↑,
46', Moreira M. ↓, Rosas L. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Paredes S. ⚽,
58', 2 - 2, Vivas J. ⚽,
62', Echeverria Perez A. J. ↓, Urias V. ↑,
63', Winter C. ↓, Calabrese B. ↑,
63', Thales 🟨,
70', Morales H. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
70', Vivas J. ↓, Ibarguen E. ↑,
78', Valdez K. ↓, Amaya W. ↑,
82', Navas D. 🟨,
84', 3 - 2, Janderson ⚽,
87', Cabrera A. ↓, Teni S. ↑,
88', Garcia K. ↓, Ticuru J. ↑,
88', Grajeda J. ↓, Del Cid H. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
Cobán Imperial is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Aurora have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Cobán Imperial may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Cobán Imperial is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Cobán Imperial has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 0.8:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cobán Imperial against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals (averaging 1:0 per game).