Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada (San Marcos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX Sports


	Marquense		Malacateco

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.10	3.40
	1.98	3	3.45
	2.08	3.1	3.69
	2.06	3.24	3.63	Watch
	2.05	3	3.65
	2.03	3.39	3.54
	1.99	3.05	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.05)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)	3.54 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marquense
45.1%

Draw
29.2%

Malacateco
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.9%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

29%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Malacateco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Marquense - Malacateco Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Marquense will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Gutierrez G. (G) 17. Chuc D. 2. Corado Ruano R. E. 70. Hernandez Y. 79. Linton O. . Ochaeta D. 12. Ramirez K. G. A. 18. Sanchez E. 66. Santos C. 5. Vasquez E. 8. Velasquez E.	. Castanon J. . Chun M. . de Leon I. . Esqueda Romero J. A. . Guzman Miron D. J. . Longo J. . Meneses R. . Ochoa J. . Quinones E. . Soto A. . Vasquez G.
Substitutes
. Cano J. 13. Cifuentes J. (G) 30. de L. B. 3. Fuentes F. 10. Garcia L. 20. Gordillo G. . Lopez C. 91. Matta A. 99. Rodas M.	. Andrade N. . Correa J. . Cummings H. . Garcia R. . Morales A. . Morales F. . Quinteros F. . Rendon C. (G) . Trigueno J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Soto A. 🟨,
8', Chuc D. 🟨,
27', Hernandez Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Soto A. ↓, Morales F. ↑,
59', Vasquez G. ↓, Quinteros F. ↑,
59', Ochoa J. ↓, Andrade N. ↑,
62', Ramirez K. G. A. ↓, Matta A. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Linton O. ⚽,
72', Castanon J. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
72', Vasquez E. ↓, de L. B. ↑,
72', Hernandez Y. ↓, Cano J. ↑,
88', Sanchez E. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
89', Quinteros F. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 7th and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marquense won 3.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Marquense holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Marquense has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:28 (averaging 1.1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Marquense against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 19:6 goals (averaging 1.9:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Marquense	12	6	1	5	13:15	-2	19
11	Malacateco	12	3	3	6	12:19	-7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marquense
Guatemala Liga Nacional
19.09.26	Aurora - Marquense	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Marquense - Deportivo San Pedro	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	Comunicaciones - Marquense	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Marquense - Xelajú	0:4 ✺
29.08.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Marquense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 LTWLW
- Deportivo Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
20.09.26	Malacateco - Deportivo Mixco	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Municipal - Malacateco	2:2 ✺
10.09.26	Malacateco - Antigua GFC	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Malacateco - Suchitepéquez	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Aurora - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
07.03.26	Marquense - Malacateco	1:0
21.01.26	Malacateco - Marquense	2:1
01.11.25	Malacateco - Marquense	2:1
24.08.25	Marquense - Malacateco	4:1
27.04.25	Marquense - Malacateco	2:0
02.03.25	Malacateco - Marquense	1:0
24.11.24	Malacateco - Marquense	4:0

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