Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Final

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Tierra de Campeones (Iquique)

Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Fox Sports
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Colombia	ESPN
Georgia	Silk Universal
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	ESPN 2
Peru	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	beIN Sports
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
World	Disney+


	Deportes Iquique		Alianza Lima

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3	Watch
	2.45	2.95	3
	2.4	3	3.1	Watch
	2.31	3.02	3.49
	2.33	3.04	3.41	Watch
	2.3	3	3.1	Watch
	2.44	3.29	2.96	Watch
	2.4	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.5)	3.06 ↓ (3.15)	3.15 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportes Iquique
39.6%

Draw
30.6%

Alianza Lima
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

29.5%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

31.1%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Iquique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	81.8%	0%

Deportes Iquique - Alianza Lima Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Deportes Iquique will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 81.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Requena L. (G) 20. Orellana D. 6. Casanova L. 15. Rodriguez C. 18. Salinas Flores H. 5. Fuentes C. 21. Fernandez C. D. N. 23. Hoyos E. 17. Gonzalez C. 8. Pino S. 10. Puch E.	23. Viscarra G. (G) 22. Enrique G. 5. Zambrano C. 6. Garces R. 21. Trauco M. 15. Castillo J. 20. Lavandeira Hernandez P. 8. Castillo E. 19. Cantero A. 27. Quevedo K. 9. Barcos H.
Substitutes
24. Barrera B. 30. Blazquez M. 12. Castillo D. (G) 14. Davila Carvajal M. 3. Ferreyra T. 27. Henriquez A. 13. Jorquera M. 11. Ramos A. 4. Rojas D. 16. Soto B. 25. Valenzuela R.	28. Aguirre G. 1. Campos A. (G) 11. D'Arrigo J. 37. Delgado J. 7. Gaibor F. 44. Gomez C. 26. Guzman V. 14. Huaman M. 13. Lagos R. 24. Soyer B. 16. Succar M. 35. Velasquez J.
Coaches
Ramirez M.	Gorosito N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', Pino S. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Barcos H. ⚽, Quevedo K. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Castillo E. ⚽, Cantero A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fernandez C. D. N. ↓, Soto B. ↑,
56', Fuentes C. 🟨,
67', 1 - 2, Zambrano C. (Own goal),
69', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
71', Soto B. 🟨,
73', Trauco M. 🟨,
74', Cantero A. 🟨,
75', Cantero A. ↓, Gaibor F. ↑,
78', Quevedo K. ↓, Lagos R. ↑,
82', Gonzalez C. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
86', Barcos H. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
89', Orellana D. ↓, Davila Carvajal M. ↑,
90+5', Succar M. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Deportes Iquique is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alianza Lima in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Deportes Iquique won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Iquique won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Iquique
Chilean Primera Division
01.03.25	Universidad Católica - Deportes Iquique	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.02.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportes Iquique	2:2 penalties ✺
Chilean Primera Division
21.02.25	Audax Italiano - Deportes Iquique	4:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.02.25	Deportes Iquique - Independiente Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
14.02.25	Deportes Iquique - Coquimbo Unido	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWL
- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
01.03.25	Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.02.25	Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima	2:2 penalties ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
21.02.25	Alianza Lima - Juan Pablo II College	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.02.25	Alianza Lima - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
15.02.25	Alianza Atlético - Alianza Lima	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.3 WWWWL

Upcoming Matches