Match Info

Copa Chile - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Zorros del Desierto (Calama)

Referee: Assadi Quintana M. H. (Chi)


	Cobreloa		Deportes Limache

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.9	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.2
				Watch
	2.27	3.3	2.66
	1.88	3.33	4.3	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.3
	1.88	3.59	3.85	Watch
	2.37	3.15	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.37)	3.32 ↑ (3.15)	3.45 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cobreloa
45.1%

Draw
27.9%

Deportes Limache
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.4%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

29.7%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobreloa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cobreloa's performance.

Deportes Limache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cobreloa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Cobreloa - Deportes Limache Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cobreloa will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Limache will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cobreloa (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Cobreloa (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Cobreloa (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cobreloa (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Salazar A. (G) 17. Tapia D. 24. Garcia L. 21. Muga C. 33. Heredia A. 4. Tapia B. 30. Ledezma I. 37. Navarro Y. 7. Gotti G. (C) 14. Rojas G. 15. Valdes A.	26. Peranic N. (G) 23. Pacheco G. 11. Fritz F. 3. Paz G. 2. Aguirre A. 24. Portilla D. 31. Silva B. 8. Catalan D. 20. Jara A. 15. Salgado H. 10. Guerra L.
Substitutes
25. Acevedo D. 1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 35. Bustamante B. 38. Fajardo M. 5. Gonzalez R. 18. Melendez J. 23. Navarrete G. 9. Ponce W. 32. Zuniga S.	19. Castro D. 9. Da Silva N. 33. Morales B. (G) 17. Morales C. 16. Ovalle J. 35. Poblete G. 13. Romero F. 5. Sandoval M. 4. Torrealba B.
Coaches
Bravo C.	Rivero V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Salgado H. ⚽, Guerra L. (A),
16', Muga C. 🟨,
23', Navarro Y. 🟥,
31', Fritz F. 🟨,
38', Salgado H. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Jara A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Salgado H. ↓, Ovalle J. ↑,
56', Silva B. 🟨,
57', Valdes A. ↓, Ponce W. ↑,
60', 0 - 3, Jara A. ⚽, Ovalle J. (A),
67', Silva B. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
67', Portilla D. ↓, Sandoval M. ↑,
67', Guerra L. ↓, Castro D. ↑,
67', Ledezma I. ↓, Zuniga S. ↑,
75', Ovalle J. 🟨,
77', Jara A. ↓, Morales C. ↑,
81', Tapia D. ↓, Bustamante B. ↑,
81', Muga C. ↓, Navarrete G. ↑,
83', Rojas G. 🟨,
85', Castro D. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 3, Ponce W. (Pen),

Preview

1st leg.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Cobreloa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Limache has had a series of home games.

Cobreloa could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cobreloa
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
31.05.25	Deportes Temuco - Cobreloa	2:0 ✺
23.05.25	Cobreloa - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Deportes Recoleta - Cobreloa	0:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
10.05.25	Cobreloa - Deportes Copiapó	3:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.05.25	Cobreloa - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWWW
- Deportes Limache
Chilean Primera Division
03.06.25	Unión Española - Deportes Limache	2:2 ✺
23.05.25	Deportes Limache - Universidad de Chile	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Deportes Limache - Palestino	0:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
10.05.25	Deportes Limache - Colo-Colo	4:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
02.05.25	Deportes Limache - Colo-Colo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33 TWLWW

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