Match Info

Liga de Primera - Relegation - Play Offs - Final

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Zorros del Desierto (Calama)


	Cobreloa		Deportes Concepción

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.6	3.95
	1.8	3.65	4.21
	1.76	3.83	4.18	Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.9
	1.73	3.52	4.22
	1.75	3.5	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.86)	3.58 ↑ (3.42)	4.13 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cobreloa
52%

Draw
25.7%

Deportes Concepción
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

26.9%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

27.1%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobreloa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Cobreloa - Deportes Concepción Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 17. Tapia D. 33. Heredia A. 6. Palma N. 40. Guzman R. 23. Navarrete G. 21. Muga C. 30. Ledezma I. 42. Jara A. 7. Gotti G. (C) 15. Valdes A.	25. Araya N. (G) 4. Caceres A. 5. Silva S. (C) 3. Carrasco D. 24. Espinola J. 31. Kimura N. 27. Sepulveda N. 16. Sandoval M. 26. Morales C. 32. Larrivey J. 19. Ovalle J.
Substitutes
22. Delgado A. 24. Garcia L. 44. Huanca C. 18. Melendez J. 16. Romero P. 31. Salazar A. (G) 32. Zuniga S.	6. Astete N. 9. Escobar C. 7. Gillard A. 1. Munoz J. (G) 23. Ojeda U. 2. Ramirez M. 11. Valdivia B.
Coaches
Bravo C.	Almendra P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Espinola J. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Sepulveda N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Navarrete G. ↓, Zuniga S. ↑,
48', Heredia A. 🟨,
48', Kimura N. 🟨,
52', 0 - 2, Larrivey J. ⚽,
60', Guzman R. 🟨,
61', Kimura N. ↓, Valdivia B. ↑,
65', Jara A. 🟨,
65', Espinola J. ↓, Gillard A. ↑,
70', Valdes A. ↓, Huanca C. ↑,
70', Ledezma I. ↓, Delgado A. ↑,
74', Guzman R. ↓, Romero P. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Gotti G. ⚽,
80', Araya N. 🟨,
81', Larrivey J. ↓, Escobar C. ↑,
81', Ovalle J. ↓, Astete N. ↑,
83', Sandoval M. 🟨,
84', 2 - 2, Delgado A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', 2 - 3, Sepulveda N. ⚽,
90+7', Sepulveda N. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.

Recent performances by Cobreloa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportes Concepción is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Cobreloa is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobreloa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cobreloa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cobreloa
Chilean Primera Division
03.12.25	Deportes Concepción - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Cobreloa - San Marcos de Arica	3:1 ✺
26.11.25	San Marcos de Arica - Cobreloa	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Cobreloa - Santiago Wanderers	3:2 penalties ✺
19.11.25	Santiago Wanderers - Cobreloa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLWT
- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Primera Division
03.12.25	Deportes Concepción - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Concepción	1:1 ✺
26.11.25	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Copiapó	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Concepción	1:1 ✺
18.11.25	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Antofagasta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
03.12.25	Deportes Concepción - Cobreloa	1:1
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
07.09.25	Deportes Concepción - Cobreloa	4:0
03.05.25	Cobreloa - Deportes Concepción	2:1
31.01.16	Deportes Concepción - Cobreloa	1:0
16.08.15	Cobreloa - Deportes Concepción	2:0

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