Match Info

GUATEMALA: Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Los Cuchumatanes (Huehuetenango)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Tigo Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Deportivo Xinabajul		Deportivo Mixco

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.02	3.72
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.19)	3.02 ↓ (3.27)	3.72 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Xinabajul
44%

Draw
30.9%

Deportivo Mixco
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

30.7%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Xinabajul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Deportivo Mixco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Xinabajul than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Mixco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Moreno Alfaro J. E. (G) 14. Aldana B. 17. Aquino D. 10. Chavasco G. 4. Cifuentes A. 32. Gonzalez F. 18. Jucup N. 22. Sanchez J. 5. Vasquez E. 23. Yori E. 11. Zuniga E.	30. Moscoso K. (G) 10. Arce G. . Bolanos J. 26. Jerry 61. Lemus K. 99. Martinez N. 5. Mendez D. 29. Quinones E. 33. Sotomayor J. 16. Urizar J. 37. Yanes A.
Substitutes
20. Baltazar Y. 16. Cabrera G. 7. Ceballos M. . Elington E. 3. Gomez F. 29. Lopez D. . Mendoza O. (G) 15. Trigueros W.	2. Flores N. 24. Gonzalez O. 20. Illescas K. 7. Lezcano A. 15. Marroquin R. 3. Moreno M. 23. Padilla M. (G) 9. Rivera E. 21. Rosas L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Zuniga E. 🟥,
22', Jucup N. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Sotomayor J. ⚽,
27', Lemus K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cifuentes A. ↓, Baltazar Y. ↑,
46', Jucup N. ↓, Ceballos M. ↑,
46', Lemus K. ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Aquino D. ⚽,
61', Quinones E. ↓, Lezcano A. ↑,
68', Chavasco G. ↓, Trigueros W. ↑,
70', Bolanos J. ↓, Rosas L. ↑,
73', Jerry 🟥,
83', 1 - 2, Martinez N. ⚽,
85', Gonzalez F. ↓, Elington E. ↑,
85', Arce G. ↓, Marroquin R. ↑,
90+2', Elington E. 🟨,
90+6', Rosas L. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Xinabajul won 0.

Xinabajul is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Deportivo Mixco is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Xinabajul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Xinabajul will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Xinabajul won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:10 (average 0.9:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Xinabajul won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Xinabajul
Guatemala Liga Nacional
12.02.25	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Xinabajul	6:0 ✺
09.02.25	Malacateco - Deportivo Xinabajul	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Municipal	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Xelajú - Deportivo Xinabajul	7:2 ✺
30.01.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Achuapa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW
- Deportivo Mixco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
12.02.25	Deportivo Mixco - Malacateco	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Municipal - Deportivo Mixco	1:1 ✺
05.02.25	Deportivo Mixco - Xelajú	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Mixco	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Mixco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
15.09.24	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Mixco	3:3
16.03.24	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:0
12.11.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Mixco	0:0
05.04.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Mixco	0:0
11.02.23	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:2
23.10.22	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Mixco	1:1
13.08.22	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:0

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