The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Guastatoya 65.9%
Draw 22.4%
Deportivo Xinabajul 11.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.7%
24%
17.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
15.3%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Guastatoya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Guastatoya's performance.
Deportivo Xinabajul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Xinabajul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (-28.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Guastatoya that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Xinabajul than the current prediction. (+15.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Xinabajul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
. de Lemos A. (G) . Aguilar Y. . Almanza J. . Armas V. . Betancourth R. . Dominguez O. . Escobar J. . Hernandez . Morales B. . Ruiz A. . Sanchez D.
. Moreno Alfaro J. E. (G) . Aldana B. . Aquino D. . Baltazar Y. . Chavasco G. . Cifuentes A. . Gonzalez F. . Jucup N. . Trigueros W. . Vasquez E. . Yori E.
Substitutes
. Acuna I. . Arboine K. . Cifuentes J. (G) . Garcia J. . Garcia N. . Lon A. . Morales H. . Palencia D. . Rodriguez E.
. Amaral U. . Cabrera G. . Diaz D. . Elington E. . Lopez K. . Marroquin E. . Mendoza O. (G) . Sanchez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Aquino D. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Morales B. ⚽,
27', Yori E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Morales B. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
53', Yori E. 🟨,
56', Baltazar Y. ↓, Alvarado E. ↑,
56', Gonzalez F. ↓, Amaral U. ↑,
62', Sanchez D. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
65', Trigueros W. ↓, Marroquin E. ↑,
68', Aguilar Y. ↓, Arboine K. ↑,
71', 🟨,
74', Jucup N. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Sanchez J. ⚽,
87', Dominguez O. ↓, Acuna I. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+6', Aldana B. 🟥,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 9 and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Guastatoya won 1.
Recent matches Guastatoya is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Xinabajul has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Xinabajul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Guastatoya is indisputable favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Guastatoya won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.3:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Guastatoya won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:2 (average 2.4:0.4).
Mexico
Venezuela
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de Lemos A. (G) 
Aguilar Y. 
Almanza J. 
Aquino D. 
Chavasco G. 
Gonzalez F. 
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