Match Info

GUATEMALA: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 16

Date: 5 April 2023, Wednesday


	Cobán Imperial		Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.8	6.75
	1.35	4.1	6.4
	1.38	4.45	7.28
	1.4	4.15	7.6	Watch
	1.43	4.1	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.46)	4.12 ↑ (3.97)	7.01 ↑ (6.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cobán Imperial
65%

Draw
22%

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

22.9%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

14.6%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobán Imperial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobán Imperial than the current prediction. (-25.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cobán Imperial that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cobán Imperial - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cobán Imperial won 3.

Recent matches Cobán Imperial is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santa Lucía is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cobán Imperial could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cobán Imperial is indisputable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Cobán Imperial won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Cobán Imperial won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cobán Imperial
Guatemala Liga Nacional
01.04.23	Deportivo Guastatoya - Cobán Imperial	0:0 ✺
12.03.23	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Achuapa	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Malacateco - Cobán Imperial	0:1 ✺
01.03.23	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Xinabajul	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Municipal - Cobán Imperial	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLWTL
- Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
01.04.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Malacateco	2:1 ✺
26.03.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	5:2 ✺
11.03.23	Xelajú - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Deportivo Mixco - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:0 ✺
01.03.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Iztapa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
11.02.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Cobán Imperial	2:0
27.11.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Cobán Imperial	1:3
17.09.22	Cobán Imperial - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	2:1
04.05.22	Cobán Imperial - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:0
02.03.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Cobán Imperial	2:1
20.11.21	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Cobán Imperial	2:2
11.09.21	Cobán Imperial - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	0:1

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