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Current Win Probability
Cobán Imperial 70.3%
Draw 20%
Deportivo Achuapa 9.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.8%
23.6%
13.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
16.9%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cobán Imperial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cobán Imperial's performance.
Deportivo Achuapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobán Imperial than the current prediction. (-25.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cobán Imperial that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Achuapa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Achuapa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
55. Casas T. (G) 3. Acosta M. 9. Amaral U. 17. Cabrera A. 14. De Leon L. 15. Flores C. 28. Janderson (C) 21. Leal Ramirez B. J. 32. Lemus B. 7. Mejia O. 30. Soto E.
27. Ruiz L. (G) . Acosta D. 24. Bol E. 88. Carabali Y. 13. Castrillo C. 6. Corado Ruano R. E. 8. de Leon I. 91. Matta A. 20. Sanchez E. 66. Santos C. 21. Suazo D.
Substitutes
22. Aldana B. 33. Ayala V. (G) 19. Estrada J. 97. Fajardo J. 35. Monges C. 20. Paredes S. 24. Rivas M. 16. Teni S. 77. Winter J.
19. Betancourt S. . Carias P. 30. Corado J. 4. Gaitan M. . Lopez P. 23. Martir A. . Palma D. 37. Perez Sarceno B. E. (G) 25. Tiul K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Corado Ruano R. E. 🟨,
14', Casas T. ↓, Ayala V. ↑,
24', Ayala V. ↓, Paredes S. ↑,
28', 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Janderson ⚽,
40', 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Acosta D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Flores C. 🟨,
59', Cabrera A. ↓, Estrada J. ↑,
59', Lemus B. ↓, Monges C. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Amaral U. ⚽,
72', 3 - 1, Amaral U. ⚽,
75', Matta A. ↓, Carias P. ↑,
75', Bol E. ↓, Palma D. ↑,
76', Amaral U. ↓, Teni S. ↑,
79', Carabali Y. ↓, Lopez P. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobán Imperial won 3.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
In this match, Cobán Imperial is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cobán Imperial won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Cobán Imperial won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 2:1.4).
Guatemala
South-america
Watch
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Casas T. (G) 
Acosta M. 
Amaral U. 
Cabrera A. 
Janderson (C) 
Carabali Y. 
Suazo D. 
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