Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio David Cordón Hichos (Guastatoya)


	Deportivo Guastatoya		Cobán Imperial

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.05	3.7
	1.96	3.24	4.01	Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.8
	1.9	3.1	3.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.98)	3.07 ↓ (3.23)	3.87 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Guastatoya
47%

Draw
29.5%

Cobán Imperial
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

28%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

29.3%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Guastatoya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Cobán Imperial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobán Imperial than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Deportivo Guastatoya - Cobán Imperial Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Escobar R. (G) 7. Almanza J. 11. Arboine K. 22. Avalos V. 30. Fernandez K. 70. Hernandez Y. 17. Lon A. 12. Ramirez K. G. A. 77. Sanchez D. 5. Ubico J. 44. Yori E.	55. Casas T. (G) 3. Acosta M. 9. Amaral U. 31. Chocooj D. 14. De Leon L. 28. Janderson (C) 21. Leal Ramirez B. J. 32. Lemus B. 7. Mejia O. 30. Soto E. 4. Thales
Substitutes
99. Cifuentes J. (G) 26. Cruz G. O. 27. Garcia N. 21. Hernandez 29. Molina A. 15. Morales H. 10. Sequen M.	33. Ayala V. (G) 17. Cabrera A. 19. Estrada J. 15. Flores C. 10. Lopez A. 35. Monges C. 48. Moran Y. A. 16. Teni S. 77. Winter J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Yori E. 🟨,
13', Mejia O. 🟨,
25', Mejia O. ↓, Winter J. ↑,
33', Acosta M. 🟨,
45+2', Amaral U. 🟨,
45+4', 🟨,
45+4', Yori E. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Chocooj D. ↓, Estrada J. ↑,
46', Lon A. ↓, Hernandez ↑,
59', Janderson ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
59', Lemus B. ↓, Moran Y. A. ↑,
61', Lopez A. 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Avalos V. ⚽,
65', Fernandez K. ↓, Almanza J. ↑,
69', Amaral U. ↓, Monges C. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Avalos V. ⚽,
77', Garcia N. ↓, Morales H. ↑,
82', Lopez A. 🟥,
85', Thales 🟨,
89', Arboine K. ↓, Sequen M. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guastatoya won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cobán Imperial may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Guastatoya could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Guastatoya won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Guastatoya won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:3. (average 1.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guastatoya	12	8	1	3	19:13	6	25
9	Coban Imperial	12	3	4	5	15:18	-3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Cobán Imperial - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26.2%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional
17.02.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Malacateco	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Xelajú	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Municipal - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Aurora	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTWLT
- Cobán Imperial
Guatemala Liga Nacional
18.02.26	Cobán Imperial - Municipal	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Aurora - Cobán Imperial	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Cobán Imperial - Mictlán	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Deportivo Mixco - Cobán Imperial	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Cobán Imperial - Marquense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
04.10.25	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:1
27.07.25	Deportivo Guastatoya - Cobán Imperial	0:1
02.04.25	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:0
30.01.25	Deportivo Guastatoya - Cobán Imperial	4:0
24.11.24	Deportivo Guastatoya - Cobán Imperial	2:0
31.08.24	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Guastatoya	3:0
21.04.24	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Guastatoya	3:3

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