Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 14

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López (Santa Fe)

Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)


	Colón		Club Almagro

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	10
	1.4	4.1	7.5
	1.4	4	8.5
	1.39	4.24	8.46
	1.4	4.28	9.14
	1.35	4.2	9
	1.39	4.15	8.45	Watch
	1.4	3.9	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)	4.11 ↑ (3.92)	8.76 ↑ (8.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón
66.7%

Draw
22.7%

Club Almagro
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

23.4%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

22.4%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Colón - Club Almagro Predictions

Users Predictions: Colón will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vicentini M. (G) 4. Herrera E. 6. Lopes H. 2. Goltz P. 3. Castet F. 5. Prediger S. (C) 8. Jourdan F. 7. Talpone N. 11. Lago I. 10. Guille B. 9. Sabella A.	1. Champagne N. (G) 4. Molina M. 2. Mattia F. 6. Giordano A. 3. Punet L. 8. Basualdo N. (C) 5. Jerez Silva L. 10. Perez P. 11. Silva G. 7. Orlando J. 9. Dornell T.
Substitutes
16. Bernardi C. 12. Gimenez T. (G) 15. Greising E. 14. Henriquez F. 13. Juncos B. 20. Leguizamon N. 18. Navas J. 17. Toledo J. 19. Vega C.	13. Aguilar J. J. 12. Barrionuevo L. (G) 14. Gancedo M. 18. Leal L. 19. Mendoza J. 20. Obredor G. 15. Puca D. 17. Troncoso L. 16. Vedoya F.
Coaches
Delfino I.	Sparapani L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Dornell T. 🟨,
35', Jerez Silva L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Sabella A. ↓, Toledo J. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Toledo J. ⚽,
56', Basualdo N. 🟨,
58', 2 - 0, Jourdan F. ⚽,
63', Orlando J. ↓, Aguilar J. J. ↑,
66', Silva G. ↓, Gancedo M. ↑,
66', Dornell T. ↓, Leal L. ↑,
68', Toledo J. 🟨,
75', Guille B. ↓, Bernardi C. ↑,
82', Perez P. ↓, Troncoso L. ↑,
82', Punet L. ↓, Vedoya F. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Toledo J. ⚽,
87', Lago I. ↓, Juncos B. ↑,
87', Talpone N. ↓, Vega C. ↑,

Preview

Colón is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Almagro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Colón is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Colón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Colón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.04.24	Brown de Adrogué - Colón	0:4 ✺
20.04.24	Colón - Temperley	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Deportivo Morón - Colón	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Colón - Nueva Chicago	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Colón	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWWL
- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.04.24	Club Almagro - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Club Almagro	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Club Almagro - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Deportivo Madryn - Club Almagro	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Club Almagro - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Argentina
04.05.16	Colón - Club Almagro	0:1

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