The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colón 62.9%
Draw 24.7%
San Telmo 12.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.6%
25.5%
13.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.1%
24.5%
13.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Colón - San Telmo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Budino M. (G) 2. Barrios P. 3. Castet F. 4. Peinipil M. 6. Rasmussen F. 5. Lertora F. 8. Allende L. 10. Lago I. 11. Marcioni J. 7. Toledo A. 9. Garate L.
1. Enrico J. C. (G) 2. Pollacchi L. 3. Romero P. 4. Motroni J. 5. Britez E. 6. Diaz E. 7. Nunez C. 8. Roncaglia F. 9. Molina N. 10. Porto J. 11. Batallini M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Diaz E. 🟨,
26', Roncaglia F. ↓, Paredes G. ↑,
41', Pollacchi L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Porto J. 🟨,
56', Nunez C. 🟨,
56', Porto J. ↓, Larthirigoyen I. ↑,
60', Peinipil M. 🟨,
61', Lertora F. ↓, Munoz M. ↑,
61', Allende L. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
68', Paredes G. 🟨,
70', Antonio I. ↓, Toledo A. ↑,
72', Barrios P. 🟨,
76', Garate L. ↓, Buosi J. ↑,
78', Enrico J. C. 🟨,
79', 1 - 0, Lago I. ⚽,
83', Nunez C. ↓, Baez F. ↑,
83', Batallini M. ↓, Zurbriggen J. ↑,
83', Romero P. ↓, Gamarra R. ↑,
Preview
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Colón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Colón is the obvious favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colón won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Colón won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
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Budino M. (G) 
Nunez C. 
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