Match Info

Copa Uruguay - Round 2

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Colón Montevideo		Atletico Fenix Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.60	2.80	2.60
	2.90	2.70	2.48
	2.89	2.48	2.92
	2.96	2.5	2.86	Watch
	2.77	2.88	2.77
	2.70	2.75	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.83)	2.69 ↓ (2.9)	2.71 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón Montevideo
32.5%

Draw
33.9%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

31%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

28.4%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colón Montevideo's performance.

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atletico Fenix Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colón Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atletico Fenix Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Colón Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Paz B. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Gonzalez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', 1 - 2, Cabrera M. ⚽,
64', 2 - 2, Quintana R. ⚽,
70', 2 - 3, Gonzalez J. ⚽,
80', 3 - 3, Quintana R. ⚽,

Preview

Colón is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fenix has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Colón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Fenix has had a series of home games.

Fenix will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Colón won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Colón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colón Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.08.26	Colón Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	Plaza Colonia - Colón Montevideo	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Colón Montevideo - La Luz	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Colón Montevideo - Cerrito	1:0 ✺
03.08.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Colón Montevideo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTWWL
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.08.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
27.08.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
22.08.26	Tacuarembó - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:4 ✺
08.08.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - La Luz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
13.06.26	Colón Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1
15.09.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	0:1
22.06.25	Colón Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:3
07.04.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	1:2

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