Match Info
Segunda Division - Round 14Date: 16 August 2026, SundayLocation: Parque Capurro (Montevideo)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, Disney+ |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
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Atletico Fenix Montevideo |
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Plaza Colonia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
 |
2.35 |
2.90 |
2.85 |
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2.32 |
2.82 |
3 |
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2.4 |
3.02 |
3.12 |
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2.39 |
3.01 |
3.14 |
Watch |
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2.35 |
2.9 |
3.05 |
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2.32 |
2.92 |
3.05 |
Watch |
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2.32 |
2.85 |
3 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.5) |
2.92 ↓
(2.95) |
3.03 ↑
(2.65) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atletico Fenix Montevideo
38.7% | Draw
31.2% | Plaza Colonia
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (+1.5%)Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Plaza Colonia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 21', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 33', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 66', 1 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 4)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenix won 1.Fenix has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Plaza Colonia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Plaza Colonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Fenix won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1.1:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Fenix won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).
Standings
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Plaza Colonia | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 32 |
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| 8 | Fenix | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 29 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Atletico Fenix Montevideo - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.83%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Plaza Colonia - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 33.8%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Uruguayan Segunda Division | | | 09.05.26 | Plaza Colonia - Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 0:1 | | Uruguayan Primera Division | | | 13.10.23 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Plaza Colonia | 1:4 | | 24.06.23 | Plaza Colonia - Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 1:1 | | 06.03.23 | Plaza Colonia - Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 3:1 | | 05.09.22 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Plaza Colonia | 0:1 | | 25.02.22 | Plaza Colonia - Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 1:1 | | 01.08.21 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Plaza Colonia | 0:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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