Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Colchester Community Stadium (Colchester)

Referee: Howard P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free, myCANAL
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	Vidio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Colchester United		Brentford

	1	X	2
	13	7	1.2	Watch
	13.5	6.75	1.21
	15	7	1.2	Watch
	14.32	6.79	1.2
	13.33	6.17	1.21	Watch
	9.5	5.5	1.3
	14	6.95	1.2	Watch
	15	7	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.46 ↑ (9.27)	6.65 ↑ (5.31)	1.22 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colchester United
7.1%

Draw
14.4%

Brentford
78.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.2%

17.9%

71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

13.7%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brentford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-23.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brentford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	11.1%	61.1%

Colchester United - Brentford Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Brentford will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brentford: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Macey M. (G) 19. Hunt R. 5. Goodliffe B. 25. Donnelly A. 30. Woodyard A. 7. Anderson H. 42. Oni M. 16. Read A. (C) 3. Iandolo E. 14. Hopper T. 48. Ihionvein B.	12. Valdimarsson H. R. (G) 28. Trevitt R. 4. van den Berg S. 16. Mee B. 27. Janelt V. (C) 24. Damsgaard M. 15. Onyeka F. 18. Yarmolyuk Y. 14. Carvalho F. 7. Schade K. 23. Lewis-Potter K.
Substitutes
20. Bendle A. 21. Edwards O. 18. Egbo M. 11. Gordon J. 10. Payne J. 12. Smith T. (G) 40. Terry F. 31. Thorn O. 9. Tovide S.	22. Collins N. 13. Cox M. (G) 8. Jensen M. 36. Kim Ji-Soo 26. Konak Y. E. 40. Morgan I. 25. Peart-Harris M. 30. Roerslev Rasmussen M. 11. Wissa Y.
Coaches
Cowley D.	Frank T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Lewis-Potter K. ⚽, Schade K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hunt R. ↓, Egbo M. ↑,
46', Iandolo E. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
46', Woodyard A. ↓, Payne J. ↑,
62', Anderson H. ↓, Edwards O. ↑,
66', Oni M. ↓, Tovide S. ↑,
71', Ihionvein B. 🟨,
73', Damsgaard M. ↓, Jensen M. ↑,
73', Schade K. ↓, Wissa Y. ↑,
74', Janelt V. ↓, Collins N. ↑,
82', Payne J. (Pen),
84', Lewis-Potter K. 🟨,
84', Carvalho F. ↓, Peart-Harris M. ↑,
89', Onyeka F. ↓, Konak Y. E. ↑,
90+4', Tovide S. 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Brentford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Colchester have a series of home games.

In this match Brentford is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colchester United
English League Two
24.08.24	Colchester United - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Colchester United - Milton Keynes Dons	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Colchester United - Reading	3:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
10.08.24	AFC Wimbledon - Colchester United	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Colchester United - Cambridge United	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LWWLW
- Brentford FC
English Premier League
25.08.24	Liverpool - Brentford	2:0 ✺
18.08.24	Brentford - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.24	Brentford - Wolfsburg	4:4 ✺
03.08.24	Watford - Brentford	1:1 ✺
25.07.24	Benfica - Brentford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
23.08.22	Colchester United - Brentford	0:2
English League One
26.04.14	Colchester United - Brentford	4:1
19.10.13	Brentford - Colchester United	3:1
26.12.12	Colchester United - Brentford	1:3
08.09.12	Brentford - Colchester United	1:0
14.02.12	Colchester United - Brentford	N/A

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