The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colchester United 47.7%
Draw 26.4%
Carlisle United 25.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.5%
26.1%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
25.8%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colchester United's performance.
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlisle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Colchester United - Carlisle United Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Macey M. (G) 18. Egbo M. 19. Hunt R. 6. Flanagan T. (C) 3. Iandolo E. 10. Payne J. 30. Woodyard A. 16. Read A. 14. Hopper T. 33. Taylor L. 9. Tovide S.
1. Lewis H. (G) 2. Davies A. 5. Lavelle S. 4. Thomas T. 22. Mellish J. 12. Biggins H. 17. Neal H. 16. Vela J. 10. Wyke Ch. (C) 3. Harper C. 29. Armstrong L.
Substitutes
7. Anderson H. 25. Donnelly A. 11. Gordon J. 4. Kelleher F. 15. McDonnell J. 17. Scully A. 12. Smith T. (G)
26. Barclay B. 13. Breeze G. (G) 25. Dudik A. 18. Ellis J. 32. O'Donoghue F. 19. Robinson J. 24. Sadi D.
Coaches
Cowley D.
Williamson M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Lavelle S. 🟨,
25', Harper C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Egbo M. ↓, Kelleher F. ↑,
46', Hopper T. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
49', Mellish J. 🟨,
65', Davies A. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
65', Armstrong L. ↓, Sadi D. ↑,
72', Mellish J. ↓, Barclay B. ↑,
77', Woodyard A. ↓, McDonnell J. ↑,
82', McDonnell J. 🟨,
82', Flanagan T. 🟨,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 22).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1.
Recent matches Colchester is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Carlisle is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Colchester will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Colchester won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 28:21 (average 1.5:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:8 (average 1.6:0.8).