The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carlisle United 33.6%
Draw 26.8%
Notts County 39.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.5%
26%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.9%
26.3%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Carlisle United - Notts County Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lewis H. (G) 2. Davies A. 22. Mellish J. 5. Lavelle S. (C) 4. Thomas T. 3. Harper C. 12. Biggins H. 11. Jones J. 16. Vela J. 24. Sadi D. 29. Armstrong L.
1. Bass A. (G) 28. Macari L. 5. Platt M. 4. Bedeau J. 2. Gordon K. 18. Palmer M. (C) 7. Crowley D. 20. Robertson S. 33. Abbott G. 8. Austin S. 29. Jatta A.
Substitutes
26. Barclay B. 13. Breeze G. (G) 18. Ellis J. 17. Neal H. 32. O'Donoghue F. 19. Robinson J. 10. Wyke Ch.
14. Brown J. 24. Cundy R. 6. Hinchy J. 19. Martin J. 9. Scott C. 21. Slocombe S. (G) 25. Tsaroulla N.
Coaches
Williamson M.
Maynard S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Jatta A. ⚽, Bass A. (A),
16', Platt M. 🟨,
34', 0 - 2, Robertson S. ⚽, Gordon K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Vela J. 🟨,
62', Abbott G. 🟨,
64', Vela J. ↓, Neal H. ↑,
65', Armstrong L. ↓, Wyke Ch. ↑,
68', Robertson S. ↓, Tsaroulla N. ↑,
69', Jatta A. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
82', Bedeau J. 🟨,
84', Crowley D. ↓, Scott C. ↑,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 0.
Carlisle is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Notts County is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Notts County could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19:21 (average 1.5:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:11 (average 1.3:1.8).
United-kingdom
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Lewis H. (G) 
Lavelle S. (C) 
Thomas T. 
Jones J. 
Bedeau J. 
Jatta A. 
Brown J. 
Tsaroulla N. 
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