The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colchester United 44.9%
Draw 28.3%
Scunthorpe United 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.7%
27.2%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
17.7%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colchester United's form might have worsened.
Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Scunthorpe United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colchester United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scunthorpe United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Colchester United - Scunthorpe United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 and 24 in the zone Relegation).
Colchester has the most likely position - 18 (6.58%), has project points - 58, has currently - 14, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (9%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Scunthorpe has the most likely position - 24 (47.1%), has project points - 38, has currently - 11, has a good chance of relegated (66%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
Colchester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Colchester is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.
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