Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 17

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Colchester United		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.75	3.75
	1.95	3.75	3.4
	1.95	3.75	3.6
	1.99	3.91	3.63
	1.99	3.91	3.63
	1.91	3.7	3.4
	1.93	3.78	3.58	Watch
	1.94	3.65	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.83)	3.78 ↑ (3.76)	3.55 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colchester United
48.4%

Draw
25%

Sutton United
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

24.9%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

24.4%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Colchester United - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: Colchester United will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goodman O. (G) 15. Mitchell Z. 6. Dallison T. 18. Egbo M. 42. Fevrie J. 13. McGeehan C. 16. Read A. 2. Greenidge W. 10. Chilvers N. 9. Tovide S. 25. Taylor J.	21. Bouzanis D. (G) 22. Kizzi J. 4. Sowunmi O. 6. John L. 23. Jackson R. 7. Coley J. 8. N'Guessan C. 26. Gape D. 10. Beautyman H. 40. O'Brien A. 9. Smith H.
Substitutes
37. Cooper C. 14. Hopper T. 29. Hornby S. (G) 48. Ihionvein B. 4. Kelleher F. 20. Mingi J. J. 40. Terry F.	33. Angol L. 16. Clay C. 19. Fadahunsi T. 24. Milsom R. 11. Patrick O. 18. Pereira D. 1. Rose J. (G)
Coaches
Etherington M.	Gray M.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 18 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Colchester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Colchester will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colchester United
English League Two
07.11.23	Colchester United - Swindon Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Shrewsbury Town - Colchester United	3:2 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Accrington Stanley - Colchester United	0:1 ✺
24.10.23	Grimsby Town - Colchester United	2:3 ✺
21.10.23	Colchester United - Harrogate Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLWWL
- Sutton United
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Sutton United - Fylde	2:1 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Sutton United - Bradford City	2:1 ✺
24.10.23	Wrexham - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Sutton United - Morecambe	2:3 ✺
14.10.23	Doncaster Rovers - Sutton United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
22.04.23	Colchester United - Sutton United	4:1
10.12.22	Sutton United - Colchester United	1:0
18.01.22	Sutton United - Colchester United	3:2
English EFL Trophy
04.01.22	Sutton United - Colchester United	2:1
English League Two
26.10.21	Colchester United - Sutton United	1:3

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