The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Scunthorpe United 27.4%
Draw 29.4%
Crawley Town 43.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
29.1%
37.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.2%
21.2%
51.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Scunthorpe United's form might have worsened.
Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crawley Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crawley Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Scunthorpe United - Crawley Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Scunthorpe has the most likely position - 24 (56.41%), has project points - 35, has currently - 8, has a good chance of relegated (75%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Crawley has the most likely position - 17 (6.2%), has project points - 59, has currently - 17, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (11%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Scunthorpe has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Crawley is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Scunthorpe have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Scunthorpe won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Scunthorpe won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.
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