Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 10 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Wild Horse Pass Stadium (Chandler, AZ)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Phoenix Rising		Louisville City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.80	3.40	2.10
	2.88	3.45	2.18
	3.14	3.69	2.22
	2.9	3.57	2.25	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.1
	3.01	3.55	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.92)	3.49 ↑ (3.35)	2.18 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phoenix Rising
31.3%

Draw
26.4%

Louisville City
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

27.4%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

25.3%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Phoenix Rising - Louisville City Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Louisville City will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rakovsky P. (G) 2. Smith C. 4. Mar Boye P. 17. JP Scearce 6. Vukovic A. 20. Biasi L. 8. Gomez D. 13. Moursou J. 37. Rivera G. 7. Sacko I. 19. Rivera D.	12. Faundez D. (G) 2. McFadden A. 4. Totsch S. 32. Adams K. (C) 13. Dia A. 8. Davila T. 6. Duncan Z. 5. Dayes B. 27. Davila E. 47. Akale M. 9. Donovan C.
Substitutes
47. Cross N. 87. Flores D. 33. Gaydon J. 38. Kowall C. 14. Odunze C. (G) 24. Pelayo A. 44. Ping J. 91. Ramirez E. 11. Studenhofft G.	1. Fauroux H. (G) 21. Huerman Q. 16. Moguel C. 3. Morris J. 7. Serrano R. 14. Showunmi T. 97. Weinrich T. 25. Wilson J.
Coaches
Kah P.	Bird S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Biasi L. 🟨,
27', Moursou J. 🟨,
34', Mar Boye P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 1, Akale M. ⚽, Duncan Z. (A),
58', Vukovic A. 🟨,
63', Dia A. 🟨,
63', Vukovic A. ↓, Flores D. ↑,
64', Rivera D. ↓, Studenhofft G. ↑,
65', Dayes B. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
65', Davila E. ↓, Serrano R. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Duncan Z. ⚽, Donovan C. (A),
76', Rivera G. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
76', Gomez D. ↓, Ping J. ↑,
83', Donovan C. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,
83', Duncan Z. ↓, Moguel C. ↑,
84', Flores D. 🟨,
85', Moursou J. ↓, Kowall C. ↑,
89', McFadden A. ↓, Huerman Q. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In recent matches, Phoenix Rising has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Louisville City is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Louisville City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Phoenix Rising won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phoenix Rising
USL Cup
06.06.26	New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising	4:0 ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising	3:0 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	Phoenix Rising - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWT
- Louisville City FC
USL Championship
03.06.26	Birmingham Legion - Louisville City	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Miami - Louisville City	4:3 ✺
USL Cup
17.05.26	Union Omaha - Louisville City	1:5 ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	Louisville City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
26.10.24	Louisville City - Phoenix Rising	4:1
17.06.23	Phoenix Rising - Louisville City	2:2
20.07.22	Louisville City - Phoenix Rising	0:0
08.11.18	Louisville City - Phoenix Rising	1:0

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