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Current Win Probability
Phoenix Rising 43.2%
Draw 26.5%
Oakland Roots 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.2%
24.3%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
23.9%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Oakland Roots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Phoenix Rising, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Phoenix Rising - Oakland Roots Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rakovsky P. (G) 2. Smith C. 4. Mar Boye P. (C) 24. Pelayo A. 20. Biasi L. 13. Moursou J. 17. JP Scearce 8. Gomez D. 37. Rivera G. 19. Rivera D. 7. Sacko I.
1. McIntosh K. (G) 12. Gibson T. 34. Edwards M. 15. Hackshaw N. 11. de Vicente J. 27. Jacquesson B. 6. Byaruhanga B. 4. McCabe T. (C) 10. Valot F. 99. Trejo D. 9. Wilson P.
Substitutes
28. Arase K. 23. Badji D. 87. Flores D. 38. Kowall C. 14. Odunze C. (G) 44. Ping J. 91. Ramirez E. 11. Studenhofft G. 6. Vukovic A.
77. Bettache F. 23. Bravo J. 21. Lepley T. 7. Prentice W. 44. Roberson B. 33. Spiegel R. (G) 17. Tingey K.
Coaches
Kah P.
Martin R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Gibson T. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 4)
46', Smith C. ↓, Flores D. ↑,
48', Pelayo A. 🟨,
49', 0 - 1, Wilson P. (Penalty Awarded),
53', Edwards M. 🟨,
55', de Vicente J. 🟨,
56', 0 - 2, Trejo D. ⚽, Wilson P. (A),
59', McIntosh K. 🟨,
62', 1 - 2, Sacko I. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Pelayo A. ↓, Studenhofft G. ↑,
69', Jacquesson B. ↓, Prentice W. ↑,
69', Gibson T. ↓, Tingey K. ↑,
72', 2 - 2, Gomez D. ⚽, Sacko I. (A),
74', 2 - 3, Valot F. ⚽, Prentice W. (A),
77', Rivera G. ↓, Arase K. ↑,
77', Rivera D. ↓, Badji D. ↑,
78', 2 - 4, Wilson P. ⚽, Prentice W. (A),
83', Valot F. ↓, Bravo J. ↑,
86', Gomez D. 🟨,
88', Gomez D. ↓, Vukovic A. ↑,
89', Wilson P. ↓, Roberson B. ↑,
90', 3 - 4, Arase K. ⚽, Vukovic A. (A),
90+10', Trejo D. 🟥,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 3.
Phoenix Rising has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Oakland Roots has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Oakland Roots may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Phoenix Rising will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix Rising won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Oakland Roots - the odds 3.37 are the expected chance of winning is 27.58%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.