Match Info

MLS

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Lower.com Field (Columbus, OH)

Referee: Gonzalez G. Jr. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass


	Columbus Crew		San Jose Earthquakes

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.75	6	Watch
	1.49	4.6	5.5
	1.5	5	6
	1.5	5	5.89
	1.49	4.85	5.75	Watch
	1.5	4.6	5.5
	1.47	5.22	5.65	Watch
	1.5	5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.77)	4.88 ↑ (3.81)	5.79 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Columbus Crew
64%

Draw
19.5%

San Jose Earthquakes
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

25.1%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

24.5%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Columbus Crew's performance.

San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Columbus Crew that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Columbus Crew - San Jose Earthquakes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Columbus (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Columbus Crew will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Columbus Crew will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Columbus (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Schulte P. (G) 23. Farsi M. 31. Moreira S. 18. Amundsen M. 27. Arfsten M. 25. Zawadzki S. 6. Nagbe D. 7. Chambost D. 10. Rossi D. 19. Russell-Rowe J. 8. Gazdag D.	42. Daniel (G) 25. Floriani M. 12. Romney D. 5. Munie D. 10. Espinoza C. 6. Harkes I. 7. Pellegrino A. 34. Leroux B. 94. Vitor Costa 17. Martinez J. 9. Arango C.
Substitutes
24. Bush E. (G) 21. Cheberko Y. 16. Habroune T. 2. Herrera A. 13. Jackson A. 20. Jones D. 26. Lappalainen L. 48. Ruvalcaba C. 14. Sejdic A.	11. Bouda O. 36. Edwards E. (G) 22. Jones D. 19. Judd P. 14. Kaye M. 24. Lima N. 18. Roberts R. 26. Rodrigues 30. Tsakiris N.
Coaches
Nancy W.	Arena B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Zawadzki S. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽, Leroux B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Martinez J. ↓, Judd P. ↑,
54', Russell-Rowe J. ↓, Jackson A. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Arfsten M. ⚽, Jackson A. (A),
66', Vitor Costa ↓, Jones D. ↑,
66', Pellegrino A. ↓, Bouda O. ↑,
75', Leroux B. ↓, Kaye M. ↑,
75', Harkes I. ↓, Tsakiris N. ↑,
84', Moreira S. 🟨,
86', Schulte P. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Columbus won 2.

Columbus is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Jose is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Columbus is a favorite.

There will not play in San Jose: Daniel (Injury) Fernandez N. (Inactive) Lopez H. (Shoulder Injury) Wilson Valdez B. R. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Columbus: Hagen N. (Finger Injury) Lappalainen L. (Hip Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Columbus won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Columbus won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Columbus Crew
MLS
19.04.25	Columbus Crew - Inter Miami	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	St. Louis City - Columbus Crew	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Columbus Crew - CF Montréal	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	DC United - Columbus Crew	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Columbus Crew - New York City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWT
- San Jose Earthquakes
MLS
19.04.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Sporting Kansas City	3:5 ✺
12.04.25	Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	San Jose Earthquakes - DC United	6:1 ✺
29.03.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Charlotte - San Jose Earthquakes	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
05.03.22	San Jose Earthquakes - Columbus Crew	3:3
03.08.19	San Jose Earthquakes - Columbus Crew	1:1
28.04.18	Columbus Crew - San Jose Earthquakes	2:1
05.08.17	San Jose Earthquakes - Columbus Crew	2:1
27.08.16	Columbus Crew - San Jose Earthquakes	2:0
16.05.15	San Jose Earthquakes - Columbus Crew	2:0
13.04.14	San Jose Earthquakes - Columbus Crew	1:1

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