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Current Win Probability
Los Angeles 56.2%
Draw 23.3%
San Jose Earthquakes 20.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.3%
21.9%
17.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.6%
21.7%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Angeles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
33.3%
11.1%
Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Los Angeles will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). San Jose will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Los Angeles: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lloris H. (G) 14. Palencia S. 5. Porteous R. 91. Nkosi Tafari 4. Segura E. 66. Choiniere M. 11. Tillman T. 8. Delgado M. 30. Martinez D. 7. Son Heung-Min 99. Bouanga D.
42. Daniel (G) 28. Kikanovic B. 5. Munie D. 18. Roberts R. 2. Ricketts J. 14. Vieira R. (C) 34. Leroux B. 7. Bouda O. 10. Tsakiris N. 11. Werner T. 19. Judd P.
Substitutes
19. Boyd T. 31. Carter C. (G) 17. Ebobisse J. 24. Hollingshead R. 33. Long A. 27. Ordaz N. 21. Raposo R. 18. Shaffelburg J. 22. Terry J.
21. Buck N. 36. Edwards E. (G) 20. Fernandez N. 25. Floriani M. 40. Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 6. Harkes I. 17. Jasinski J. 4. Romney D. 16. Skahan J.
Coaches
Dos Santos M.
Arena B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Tillman T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
51', Leroux B. 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Bouda O. ⚽, Werner T. (A),
56', 0 - 2, Werner T. ⚽, Leroux B. (A),
57', Porteous R. 🟨,
59', 0 - 3, Porteous R. (Own goal),
60', Martinez D. ↓, Shaffelburg J. ↑,
60', Tillman T. ↓, Ebobisse J. ↑,
60', Segura E. ↓, Hollingshead R. ↑,
61', Roberts R. 🟨,
61', Bouanga D. 🟨,
69', Ricketts J. ↓, Romney D. ↑,
74', 1 - 3, Roberts R. (Own goal),
76', Leroux B. ↓, Harkes I. ↑,
76', Werner T. ↓, Skahan J. ↑,
80', 1 - 4, Bouda O. ⚽, Tsakiris N. (A),
81', Palencia S. ↓, Raposo R. ↑,
87', Vieira R. ↓, Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. ↑,
88', Judd P. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
89', Harkes I. 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 5.
In recent matches, Los Angeles has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
San Jose is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Los Angeles is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Los Angeles: Boudri A.
(Leg Injury)
Dellavalle L.
(Knee Injury)
Eustaquio S.
(Leg Injury)
Igor Jesus
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in San Jose: Jones D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Vitor Costa
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in San Jose: Ricketts J.
(Injury)
Spivey K.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 52:30. (average 2.6:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Los Angeles won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 37:14. (average 3.1:1.2).
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Lloris H. (G) 
Palencia S. 
Porteous R. 
Nkosi Tafari 
Segura E. 
Choiniere M. 
Martinez D. 
Son Heung-Min 
Bouanga D. 
Daniel (G) 
Vieira R. (C) 
Bouda O. 
Werner T. 
Ordaz N. 
Buck N. 
Gonzalez Mendoza J. A. 
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