Match Info

MLS

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: PayPal Park (San Jose, CA)

Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass


	San Jose Earthquakes		DC United

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.2	Watch
	2.05	3.8	3.1
	2.25	3.75	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.8	3.1	Watch
	2.05	3.9	3
	2.2	3.68	3.28	Watch
	2.25	3.75	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.45)	3.75 ↑ (3.7)	3.13 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Jose Earthquakes
44.2%

Draw
25.4%

DC United
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

25.8%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

25.9%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Jose Earthquakes's performance.

DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Jose Earthquakes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

San Jose Earthquakes - DC United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 3 - 60%). DC United will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Jose (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Daniel (G) 26. Rodrigues 12. Romney D. 4. Wilson Valdez B. R. 10. Espinoza C. 34. Leroux B. 30. Tsakiris N. 6. Harkes I. 94. Vitor Costa 17. Martinez J. 9. Arango C.	1. Kim J. (G) 18. Dodson D. 15. Rowles K. 3. Bartlett L. 28. Schnegg D. 77. Kijima H. 4. Peltola M. 14. Badji D. 10. Gabriel Pirani 7. Peglow 20. Benteke C.
Substitutes
11. Bouda O. 36. Edwards E. (G) 19. Judd P. 14. Kaye M. 5. Munie D. 7. Pellegrino A. 2. Ricketts J. 18. Roberts R. 33. Verhoeven O.	13. Barraza L. (G) 6. Boris Enow 22. Herrera A. 11. Leal R. 5. MacNaughton L. 17. Murrell J. 23. Servania B. 8. Stroud J. 44. Zouhir R.
Coaches
Arena B.	Lesesne T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Arango C. ⚽, Espinoza C. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Martinez J. ⚽, Tsakiris N. (A),
18', Benteke C. 🟨,
20', 3 - 0, Espinoza C. (Pen),
45+2', 3 - 1, Benteke C. ⚽, Dodson D. (A), Gabriel Pirani (A2)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Kijima H. ↓, Zouhir R. ↑,
58', Dodson D. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
60', Romney D. 🟨,
64', Badji D. ↓, Murrell J. ↑,
64', Peglow ↓, Stroud J. ↑,
69', Harkes I. ↓, Kaye M. ↑,
69', Tsakiris N. ↓, Pellegrino A. ↑,
70', Vitor Costa 🟨,
72', Bartlett L. 🟨,
73', Peltola M. ↓, Leal R. ↑,
77', Vitor Costa ↓, Ricketts J. ↑,
81', 4 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽, Pellegrino A. (A),
85', Arango C. ↓, Bouda O. ↑,
85', Leroux B. ↓, Verhoeven O. ↑,
90', 5 - 1, Pellegrino A. ⚽, Ricketts J. (A), Kaye M. (A2)
90+2', 6 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽, Espinoza C. (A),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 11 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Jose won 1.

San Jose is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches DC United is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Jose will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in San Jose: Fernandez N. (Inactive) Kikanovic B. (Lower-Body Injury) Lopez H. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in DC United: Hopkins J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in DC United: Antley C. (Knee Injury) Karamoko H. (Abdominal strain) Leal R. (Thigh Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches San Jose won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams San Jose won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Jose Earthquakes
MLS
29.03.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Charlotte - San Jose Earthquakes	4:1 ✺
15.03.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Colorado Rapids	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Sporting Kansas City - San Jose Earthquakes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLLLW
- DC United
MLS
29.03.25	DC United - Columbus Crew	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Orlando City - DC United	4:1 ✺
15.03.25	DC United - CF Montréal	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	DC United - Sporting Kansas City	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Chicago Fire - DC United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
09.09.23	DC United - San Jose Earthquakes	0:0
01.05.21	San Jose Earthquakes - DC United	4:1
01.06.19	DC United - San Jose Earthquakes	1:1
19.05.18	San Jose Earthquakes - DC United	1:3
23.09.17	DC United - San Jose Earthquakes	4:0
02.04.16	San Jose Earthquakes - DC United	1:1
22.08.15	DC United - San Jose Earthquakes	0:2

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