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Current Win Probability
Colwyn Bay 48.4%
Draw 26.7%
Barry Town United 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
28.8%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.8%
30.2%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colwyn Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colwyn Bay's performance.
Barry Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barry Town United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colwyn Bay that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barry Town United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Colwyn Bay - Barry Town United Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Colwyn Bay will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Barry Town will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Halstead M. (G) 8. Bratley C. 11. Davies J. 6. Forde S. 3. Hart S. 7. Kenny J. 4. Peate N. 22. Poole D. 2. Roberts D. 10. Robles L. 5. Sirrell L.
31. Ratcliffe G. (G) 8. Barton D. 7. Daley N. 2. George M. 16. Lester J. 24. Richards W. 4. Sainty C. 21. Shaw J. 14. Smith D. 15. Wharton T. 3. Williams E.
Substitutes
31. Bubb C. (G) 9. Davies A. 23. Edwards A. 19. Hill M. 17. Roberts E. 25. Rowlands D. 16. Williams J.
19. Bernard J. 9. Crosbie J. 45. Njie A. 11. Schwank R. 1. Thomas J. (G)
Coaches
Wilde M.
Legg A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Daley N. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, George M. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Poole D. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
48', 2 - 2, Peate N. ⚽,
57', 3 - 2, Davies J. ⚽,
57', Smith D. ↓, Crosbie J. ↑,
61', Hart S. ↓, Roberts E. ↑,
61', Kenny J. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
66', 4 - 2, Forde S. ⚽,
77', Davies J. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
82', Bratley C. 🟨,
83', Shaw J. ↓, Bernard J. ↑,
85', Bratley C. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
85', Robles L. ↓, Hill M. ↑,
90+3', 5 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th in the Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League Group: ) and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colwyn Bay won 3.
In recent outings, Colwyn Bay has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Barry Town shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Colwyn Bay has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:9 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Colwyn Bay against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:6 goals (averaging 1.4:1.2 per game).
Wales
World
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Halstead M. (G) 
Bratley C. 
Lester J. 
Wharton T. 
Njie A. 
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