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Current Win Probability
Holywell Town 11.5%
Draw 18.6%
Colwyn Bay 69.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.5%
22.4%
60.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.9%
19.7%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Holywell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Holywell Town's form might have worsened.
Colwyn Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colwyn Bay's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holywell Town than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Holywell Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (-17%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colwyn Bay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Holywell Town - Colwyn Bay Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Colwyn Bay will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Colwyn Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - Colwyn Bay (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Colwyn Bay (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Swindell A. (G) 20. Baker S. 7. Bibby T. 9. Davies O. 8. Dogan T. 34. Edwards R. 16. McGiveron D. 28. Morris H. 12. Tierney J. 10. Winslade M. 27. Yonsian F.
1. Halstead M. (G) 8. Bratley C. 11. Davies J. 6. Forde S. 3. Hart S. 19. Hill M. 7. Kenny J. 4. Peate N. 22. Poole D. 2. Roberts D. 5. Sirrell L.
Substitutes
2. Bedford C. 31. Collins E. (G) 3. Davies M. 18. Hughes C. 14. Murtas F. 17. Reed J. 19. Sconce J.
9. Davies A. 13. Osment S. (G) 17. Roberts E. 10. Robles L. 16. Williams J.
Coaches
Haseldin J.
Wilde M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 5)
9', 0 - 1, Hill M. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Davies J. ⚽,
35', 0 - 3, Sirrell L. ⚽,
42', 0 - 4, Kenny J. ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 5, Davies J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Poole D. ↓, Robles L. ↑,
57', Bratley C. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
57', McGiveron D. ↓, Sconce J. ↑,
57', Baker S. ↓, Hughes C. ↑,
70', Davies J. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
71', Winslade M. ↓, Murtas F. ↑,
82', Davies O. ↓, Reed J. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holywell Town won 1.
Holywell Town is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Colwyn Bay has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Colwyn Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Colwyn Bay is the obvious favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Holywell Town won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Holywell Town won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:3).
Wales
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Swindell A. (G) 
Baker S. 
Dogan T. 
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