Match Info

Date: 5 April 2022, Tuesday


	Colón		Peñarol de Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.8
	2.1	3.1	3.7
	2.02	3.05	4
	2.06	3	3.85
	2.13	3.11	4.13
	2.05	2.9	3.7	Watch
	2.07	3.18	3.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.19)	3.06 ↓ (3.14)	3.86 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón
45.2%

Draw
30.5%

Peñarol de Montevideo
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

29.6%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

29.9%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Colón - Peñarol de Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Colón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Peñarol is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Colón will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colón
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
31.03.22	Colón - Aldosivi	1:3 ✺
19.03.22	Colón - Unión Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
13.03.22	Lanús - Colón	1:1 ✺
07.03.22	Tigre - Colón	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
01.03.22	Colón - Sportivo Peñarol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTTLW
- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
01.04.22	Rentistas - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:0 ✺
19.03.22	Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
05.03.22	Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
27.02.22	Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	1:0 ✺
19.02.22	Albion Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TTWWT

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