Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 4

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports


	Colón Montevideo		Miramar Misiones

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.05
	2.31	3.15	3.4
	2.33	2.98	3.29	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.1
	2.29	3.22	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.44)	3.05 ↑ (2.91)	3.19 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón Montevideo
40.8%

Draw
30.3%

Miramar Misiones
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

31.9%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

31.3%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Colón Montevideo - Miramar Misiones Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Colón will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 🟥,
17', 0 - 1, ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 🟥,
72', 0 - 3, ⚽,
88', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Colón will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Colón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Colon	21	8	6	7	20:23	-3	30
12	Miramar	21	6	7	8	23:26	-3	25

Last Results with these Odds

Colón Montevideo - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.05%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colón Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
23.05.26	Tacuarembó - Colón Montevideo	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Colón Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	La Luz - Colón Montevideo	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Miramar Misiones - Colón Montevideo	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Colón Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTTW
- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.05.26	Miramar Misiones - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Rentistas - Miramar Misiones	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Miramar Misiones - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Rentistas - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Miramar Misiones - Colón Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
18.04.26	Miramar Misiones - Colón Montevideo	0:0

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