Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 10

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday


	Comerciantes Unidos		Comerciantes Belén

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	4.75
	1.51	4.16	5.55
	1.44	4.45	6
	1.47	4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.3)	4.09 ↓ (4.3)	5.38 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comerciantes Unidos
60.8%

Draw
22.3%

Comerciantes Belén
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

20.6%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.6%

19.1%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comerciantes Unidos's form might have worsened.

Comerciantes Belén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Comerciantes Belén's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Comerciantes Unidos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Comerciantes Belén, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Comerciantes Unidos - Comerciantes Belén Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Comerciantes will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Campos D. (G) 11. Aponza Y. 16. Bosmediano J. 8. Leguia F. 25. Lopez K. 3. Mena J. 6. Paico K. 32. Salinas R. 10. Santamaria K. 9. Sen M. (C) 4. Valverde L.	21. Sanchez K. (G) 11. Cenepo G. 29. Correa R. 30. Cossio D. 19. Dominguez J. 26. Guevara R. 5. Hoyos H. (C) 23. Reategui P. 3. Rios R. 16. Romero L. 12. Salas L.
Substitutes
1. Anderson R. (G) 30. Bazan R. 7. Becerra P. 2. Canova J. 14. Lasso C. 29. Lopez J. 23. Magallanes P.	33. Anaya R. 20. Correa G. 6. Davila I. 2. Montalvan H. 8. Pinedo B. 34. Pinedo D. 1. Vasquez E. (G)

Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Apertura: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Comerciantes Unidos in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Comerciantes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Comerciantes Unidos is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Comerciantes Unidos to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 2
05.06.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Comerciantes Unidos	0:3 ✺
28.05.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Los Chankas	3:2 ✺
23.05.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Juan Aurich	2:2 ✺
19.05.23	Deportivo Coopsol - Comerciantes Unidos	1:2 ✺
14.05.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 WWTWW
- AD Comerciantes Belén
Peruvian Liga 2
04.06.23	Comerciantes Belén - Deportivo Coopsol	2:1 ✺
31.05.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Comerciantes Belén	2:1 ✺
25.05.23	Comerciantes Belén - Santos	1:0 ✺
18.05.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Comerciantes Belén	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Comerciantes Belén - Ayacucho	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLW

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