Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Round 3

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)


	Cusco		Cienciano

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.10	2.35
	2.63	3.30	2.33
	2.68	3.15	2.53
	2.64	3.23	2.55	Watch
	2.65	2.90	2.40
	2.70	3.42	2.46
	2.70	3.05	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (3.15)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)	2.43 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cusco
34%

Draw
28.7%

Cienciano
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

27.7%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

27.1%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cienciano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cusco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cienciano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cusco - Cienciano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Colunga N. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Tevez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 1 - 2, Garces C. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 3.

Recent performances by Cusco have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cienciano is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cusco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cusco has had a series of away games.

Cienciano could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cusco FC
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
22.06.26	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Cusco	4:3 ✺
14.06.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco	0:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
30.05.26	ADT Tarma - Cusco	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.05.26	Flamengo - Cusco	3:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
23.05.26	Cusco - Atlético Grau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTWLW
- Cienciano
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
21.06.26	Cienciano - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Cienciano	0:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
31.05.26	Cienciano - Sporting Cristal	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.05.26	Cienciano - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
24.05.26	Sport Huancayo - Cienciano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
15.03.26	Cusco - Cienciano	1:2
18.10.25	Cienciano - Cusco	1:2
13.06.25	Cusco - Cienciano	0:0
28.09.24	Cienciano - Cusco	1:2
27.04.24	Cusco - Cienciano	2:0
16.07.23	Cusco - Cienciano	0:0
10.02.23	Cienciano - Cusco	2:0

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