The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ADT Tarma 34.2%
Draw 27.9%
Sport Huancayo 37.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
27.3%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.4%
28.2%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ADT Tarma's form might have worsened.
Sport Huancayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sport Huancayo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADT Tarma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sport Huancayo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Huancayo will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Solis C. (G) 98. Ramos A. 23. Narvaez J. 28. Soto J. 59. Nunez O. 6. Ojeda A. 16. Perez L. 80. Canela Torres J. J. 7. Rojas J. (C) 77. Lucumi J. 9. Rengifo H.
12. Zamudio A. (G) 16. Falconi J. 26. Gaona M. 70. Valoyes J. 2. Angeles H. 23. Magallanes P. 8. Carabano D. 22. Salcedo R. (C) 11. Sanguinetti J. 19. Huaccha R. 10. Lujan N.
Substitutes
32. Bauman J. 44. Benincasa H. 26. Garcilazo J. 31. Navarro J. 24. Peralta S. 99. Pereyra J. 2. Reyes J. 3. Rugel L. 30. Valencia J. (G)
7. Campodonico R. 21. Campos D. (G) 17. Gimenez Delgado J. J. 9. Martinez J. 92. Murillo Y. 97. Porozo D. 91. Quinonez A. 28. Rostaing J. 38. Villar E.
Coaches
Usucar F.
Pellejero R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
4', Narvaez J. 🟨,
8', Falconi J. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Angeles H. ⚽, Carabano D. (A),
20', Solis C. 🟨,
22', Lujan N. 🟨,
26', 0 - 2, Carabano D. (Penalty Awarded),
32', Narvaez J. ↓, Pereyra J. ↑,
32', Ojeda A. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
35', 0 - 3, Sanguinetti J. ⚽, Lujan N. (A),
44', Magallanes P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rengifo H. ↓, Bauman J. ↑,
46', Nunez O. ↓, Peralta S. ↑,
51', Angeles H. 🟨,
56', Sanguinetti J. ↓, Villar E. ↑,
56', Huaccha R. ↓, Porozo D. ↑,
62', Reyes J. 🟨,
71', Magallanes P. ↓, Campodonico R. ↑,
76', Rojas J. ↓, Garcilazo J. ↑,
82', Bauman J. 🟨,
84', Salcedo R. 🟨,
85', Salcedo R. 🟨,
89', Lujan N. ↓, Murillo Y. ↑,
89', Carabano D. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
89', 1 - 3, Zamudio A. (Own goal),
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 3.
ADT has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Huancayo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
ADT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There are questionable in ADT: Rodriguez A.
(Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, ADT won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).