Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday


	Comerciantes Unidos		Universidad San Martín

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.25	5.1
	1.66	3.17	5.19
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.57	4.3	4.3
	1.45	4.2	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.38)	4.02 ↓ (4.18)	5.14 ↓ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comerciantes Unidos
59.8%

Draw
22.6%

Universidad San Martín
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

21.3%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

20.3%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Universidad San Martín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Comerciantes Unidos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Campos D. (G) 11. Aponza Y. 16. Bosmediano J. 25. Lopez K. 3. Mena J. 28. Mendoza J. 6. Paico K. 32. Salinas R. 10. Santamaria K. 9. Sen M. (C) 4. Valverde L.	22. Ynamine P. (G) 7. Bazan H. 5. Cano J. (C) 19. Chumpitaz Blas I. 25. Delgado G. 29. Ismodes D. 8. Molina J. 4. Noriega E. 20. Reyes D. 3. Roque Paco G. A. 27. Viza C.
Substitutes
1. Anderson R. (G) 30. Bazan R. 7. Becerra P. 2. Canova J. 14. Lasso C. 23. Magallanes P. 5. Peral P.	6. Cruzado R. 24. del Castillo D. 9. Salem J. 12. Sotelo S. (G) 23. Vasquez O. 11. Veron G.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Apertura: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Comerciantes Unidos won 2.

Recent matches Comerciantes Unidos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Universidad San Martín is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Universidad San Martín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Comerciantes Unidos is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Comerciantes Unidos won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Comerciantes Unidos won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 2
20.09.23	Pirata - Comerciantes Unidos	1:4 ✺
14.09.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Unión Huaral	2:0 ✺
07.09.23	Comerciantes Belén - Comerciantes Unidos	2:2 ✺
31.08.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:0 ✺
23.08.23	Los Chankas - Comerciantes Unidos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWTTL
- Universidad San Martín
Peruvian Liga 2
18.09.23	Universidad San Martín - Deportivo Coopsol	0:2 ✺
11.09.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Universidad San Martín	0:0 ✺
31.08.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Universidad San Martín	3:1 ✺
15.08.23	Carlos Stein - Universidad San Martín	0:3 ✺
10.08.23	Universidad San Martín - Juan Aurich	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
04.07.23	Universidad San Martín - Comerciantes Unidos	0:1
Peruvian Liga 1
10.11.18	Comerciantes Unidos - Universidad San Martín	3:1
19.08.18	Universidad San Martín - Comerciantes Unidos	2:0
31.03.18	Universidad San Martín - Comerciantes Unidos	1:1
11.02.18	Comerciantes Unidos - Universidad San Martín	1:2
24.11.17	Universidad San Martín - Comerciantes Unidos	3:2
31.07.17	Comerciantes Unidos - Universidad San Martín	1:2

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