Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 23

Date: 7 September 2023, Thursday


	Comerciantes Belén		Comerciantes Unidos

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.95	3.5
	2.05	3.02	3.45
	2.1	2.9	3.5
	2.02	2.91	4.05
	2.2	3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.58)	2.96 ↑ (2.91)	3.51 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comerciantes Belén
43.5%

Draw
30.7%

Comerciantes Unidos
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

30.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

29.6%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comerciantes Belén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Comerciantes Belén's performance.

Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Comerciantes Unidos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Comerciantes Belén that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Comerciantes Unidos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	30.8%	30.8%

Comerciantes Belén - Comerciantes Unidos Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Comerciantes will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Comerciantes: 12% – 65%.

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Apertura: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Comerciantes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Comerciantes will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Comerciantes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Comerciantes Belén
Peruvian Liga 2
30.08.23	Deportivo Coopsol - Comerciantes Belén	1:0 ✺
22.08.23	Comerciantes Belén - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:0 ✺
15.08.23	Santos - Comerciantes Belén	0:0 ✺
10.08.23	Comerciantes Belén - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	2:0 ✺
03.08.23	Ayacucho - Comerciantes Belén	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTWL
- Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 2
31.08.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:0 ✺
23.08.23	Los Chankas - Comerciantes Unidos	2:1 ✺
16.08.23	Juan Aurich - Comerciantes Unidos	1:0 ✺
09.08.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Deportivo Coopsol	1:0 ✺
03.08.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Comerciantes Unidos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
11.06.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Comerciantes Belén	2:0

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