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Current Win Probability
Comerciantes Unidos 35.1%
Draw 30.9%
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco 34%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.4%
30.2%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
28.3%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comerciantes Unidos's form might have worsened.
Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Villete A. (G) 25. Guzman W. 37. Vilchez Y. 16. Tecilla N. 26. Mendez P. 17. Cardenas P. 22. Marchioni J. 76. Figueroa N. 30. Marina J. 15. Carpio Ferro M. P. 9. Sen M. (C)
31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 28. Perleche A. 33. Otavio Gut 3. Ampuero A. 19. Mendieta J. 5. Ascues C. 11. Vasquez Ortega E. O. 29. Escobar J. 8. Lliuya M. 7. Gomez A. 17. Mena Y. (C)
Substitutes
31. Aguilar R. 40. Alcedo F. 36. Alfaro Martinez G. E. 1. Caytuiro F. (G) 34. Chipao R. 11. Lecaros A. 6. Paico K. 20. Parodi J. 85. Sanchez G.
22. Campodonico R. 20. Canela Torres J. J. 30. Duran J. 12. Figueroa E. (G) 66. Fuentes P. 14. Guevara B. 6. Ibarguen J. 90. Rodriguez C. 38. Sernaque J.
Coaches
Biaggio C.
Mosquera R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Mena Y. ⚽, Lliuya M. (A),
38', Figueroa N. 🟨,
45+1', Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↓, Fuentes P. ↑,
45+4', 0 - 2, Fuentes P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Tecilla N. 🟨,
54', Otavio Gut 🟨,
58', Carpio Ferro M. P. ↓, Sanchez G. ↑,
66', Ascues C. 🟨,
67', Figueroa N. ↓, Parodi J. ↑,
69', Gomez A. ↓, Ibarguen J. ↑,
71', Mena Y. 🟨,
75', 1 - 2, Sen M. ⚽, Mendez P. (A),
80', Escobar J. 🟨,
81', Escobar J. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
81', Lliuya M. ↓, Campodonico R. ↑,
81', Perleche A. 🟨,
85', Ampuero A. 🟨,
90+7', 🟥,
90+8', Villete A. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16).
Recent performances by Comerciantes Unidos have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Alianza Universidad is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There are questionable in Comerciantes Unidos: Marina J.
(Injury)
Paico K.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Alianza Universidad: Ascues C.
(Injury)
Gomez R.
(Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).