Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 33

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como)

Referee: Rutella D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport


	Como		Bari

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.6	3.7	5.5
	1.66	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.85	6.28
	1.62	3.85	6.28
	1.7	3.6	4.8
	1.66	3.82	5.35	Watch
	1.62	3.55	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.79)	3.72 ↑ (3.53)	5.75 ↑ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
57.9%

Draw
25.6%

Bari
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.9%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

26.6%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Como - Bari Predictions

Users Predictions: Como will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Semper A. (G) 6. Iovine A. 2. Goldaniga E. 93. Barba F. 3. Sala M. 21. Strefezza G. 14. Bellemo A. (C) 27. Braunoder M. 33. Da Cunha L. 10. Cutrone P. 9. Gabrielloni A.	38. Pissardo M. (G) 5. Matino E. 23. Vicari F. 21. Zuzek Z. 25. Pucino R. 4. Maita M. 8. Benali A. 93. Dorval M. 49. Aramu M. 10. Bellomo N. 47. Puscas G.
Substitutes
28. Abildgaard O. 70. Ballet S. 8. Baselli D. 84. Cassandro T. 7. Chajia M. 5. Curto M. 23. Gioacchini N. 44. Ioannou N. 77. Nsame J. 26. Odenthal C. 90. Verdi S. 22. Vigorito M. (G)	44. Acampora G. 11. Achik I. 22. Brenno (G) 18. Diaw D. 24. Edjouma M. 19. Guiebre A. 14. Lulic K. 17. Maiello R. 77. Morachioli G. 9. Nasti M. 34. Natuzzi R. 31. Ricci G.
Coaches
Roberts O.	Iachini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Matino E. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Gabrielloni A. ⚽, Cutrone P. (A),
42', Iovine A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Maita M. ↓, Edjouma M. ↑,
55', Matino E. ↓, Achik I. ↑,
55', Aramu M. ↓, Nasti M. ↑,
56', Bellomo N. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Da Cunha L. ⚽, Cutrone P. (A),
60', Vicari F. 🟨,
66', Gabrielloni A. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
66', Da Cunha L. ↓, Chajia M. ↑,
67', Benali A. 🟨,
73', Bellomo N. ↓, Morachioli G. ↑,
75', Pucino R. 🟨,
77', Cutrone P. ↓, Gioacchini N. ↑,
78', Strefezza G. ↓, Baselli D. ↑,
84', Dorval M. ↓, Ricci G. ↑,
88', Sala M. ↓, Ioannou N. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Puscas G. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 15).

Como is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bari is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bari could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Como is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Como won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Como won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
06.04.24	Catanzaro - Como	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Como - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.24	Cádiz - Como	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
16.03.24	Como - Pisa	3:1 ✺
09.03.24	Cremonese - Como	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWTWL
- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
05.04.24	Bari - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Modena - Bari	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Bari - Sampdoria	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Venezia - Bari	3:1 ✺
03.03.24	Bari - Spezia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.10.23	Bari - Como	1:1
15.04.23	Bari - Como	2:2
27.11.22	Como - Bari	1:1
16.04.16	Bari - Como	3:0
28.11.15	Como - Bari	1:1

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