The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bari 25.1%
Draw 31.1%
Cremonese 43.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
29.4%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
29.7%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bari's form might have worsened.
Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cremonese's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cremonese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
41.7%
41.7%
Bari - Cremonese Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Cremonese will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 13.8% โ 69.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Radunovic B. (G) 3. Mantovani V. 23. Vicari F. (C) 55. Obaretin N. 27. Favasuli C. 4. Maita M. 8. Benali A. 93. Dorval M. 20. Pereiro G. 10. Bellomo N. 15. Lasagna K.
1. Fulignati A. (G) 26. Antov V. 5. Ravanelli L. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 18. Collocolo M. 6. Pickel C. 19. Castagnetti M. 27. Vandeputte J. 7. Azzi P. 99. Nasti M. 20. Vazquez F.
Substitutes
11. Bonfanti N. 19. Falletti C. 99. Favilli A. 28. Lella N. 21. Maggiore G. 17. Maiello R. 45. Marfella D. (G) 22. Pissardo M. (G) 25. Pucino R. 94. Saco C. 13. Tripaldelli A.
4. Barbieri T. 90. Bonazzoli F. 23. Ceccherini F. 9. De Luca M. 12. Drago G. (G) 11. Johnsen D. 37. Majer Z. 22. Malovec A. (G) 42. Moretti L. 8. Valoti M. 98. Zanimacchia L.
Coaches
Longo M.
Stroppa G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Vicari F. ↓, Pucino R. ↑,
42', Vazquez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vazquez F. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
46', Lasagna K. ↓, Bonfanti N. ↑,
46', Pereiro G. ↓, Lella N. ↑,
52', Collocolo M. ↓, Barbieri T. ↑,
62', Nasti M. ↓, De Luca M. ↑,
63', Vandeputte J. ↓, Valoti M. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Valoti M. ⚽, Johnsen D. (A),
75', Bellomo N. 🟨,
75', Bellomo N. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
78', Azzi P. 🟨,
79', Maita M. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
79', Johnsen D. 🟨,
90', Castagnetti M. ↓, Majer Z. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Bianchetti M. (Own goal),
90+5', Bonfanti N. 🟨,
90+5', Antov V. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bari won 2.
Recent matches Bari is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Cremonese is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Cremonese will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Bari: Oliveri A.
(Injury)
Pucino R.
(Knock)
Simic L.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Bari: Lasagna K.
(Injury)
Novakovich A.
(Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Bari won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.1:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Bari won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).