Match Info

Date: 28 October 2021, Thursday


	Como		Pordenone

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.8	Watch
	2	3.2	3.8
	2.05	3.25	3.75	Watch
	2.1	3	3.6
	2.18	3.29	3.78
	1.91	3.25	4.2
	2.07	3.28	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.91)	3.21 ↓ (3.5)	3.82 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
46%

Draw
29.4%

Pordenone
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

26.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

20.7%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Pordenone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Como, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pordenone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.2%	22.6%	13.2%

Como - Pordenone Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Como will win (votes: 34 - 64.2%). Pordenone will win (votes: 7 - 13.2%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 22.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 51.3% – 77.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Como has the most likely position - 16 (9.05%), has project points - 46, has currently - 10, has a chance of relegated (26%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (17%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Pordenone has the most likely position - 20 (39.24%), has project points - 31, has currently - 2, has a good chance of relegated (80%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Como is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pordenone is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Como will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Como won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Como won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
24.10.21	SPAL - Como	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Como - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
03.10.21	Brescia - Como	2:4 ✺
25.09.21	Como - Benevento	1:1 ✺
21.09.21	Nuova Cosenza - Como	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TWWTL
- Pordenone Calcio
Italian Serie B
24.10.21	Pisa - Pordenone	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Pordenone - Ternana	1:3 ✺
03.10.21	Pordenone - Vicenza Virtus	2:4 ✺
25.09.21	Monza - Pordenone	3:1 ✺
21.09.21	Pordenone - Reggina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
21.03.15	Pordenone - Como	2:5
02.11.14	Como - Pordenone	3:1

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