Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como)

Referee: Ghersini D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Como		Benevento

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.87	Watch
	2.35	3.2	3
	2.3	3.2	3.1
	2.39	3.1	2.95
	2.58	3.17	3.08
	2.7	3.2	2.6
	2.41	3.15	3.04	Watch
	2.41	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.6)	3.2 ↑ (3.14)	2.96 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Como
38.6%

Draw
29.5%

Benevento
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

29.5%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

27.6%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	13.6%	59.1%

Como - Benevento Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Como will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Benevento will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benevento: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Como has the most likely position - 20 (24.43%), has project points - 36, has currently - 6, has a good chance of relegated (64%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Benevento has the most likely position - 11 (7.33%), has project points - 51, has currently - 9, has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (31%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has small quality 29, importance 33, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Both teams are in bad shape now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Como won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Como won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
15.10.22	Modena - Como	5:1 ✺
09.10.22	Como - Perugia	1:0 ✺
30.09.22	Nuova Cosenza - Como	3:1 ✺
17.09.22	Como - SPAL	3:3 ✺
10.09.22	Como - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLTL
- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie B
15.10.22	Benevento - Ternana	2:3 ✺
09.10.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Benevento	1:1 ✺
02.10.22	Benevento - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
16.09.22	Brescia - Benevento	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Benevento - Cagliari	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
23.02.22	Benevento - Como	5:0
25.09.21	Como - Benevento	1:1
Italian Serie C Group A
16.05.15	Benevento - Como	1:2

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