Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 17

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Brescia		Como

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	3.1	Watch
	2.55	2.9	2.95
	2.55	2.9	3	Watch
	2.67	2.88	3.26
	2.67	2.88	3.28
	2.4	3	2.9
	2.53	3.05	2.95	Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.75)	2.93 ↓ (3.08)	3.05 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
36.8%

Draw
32.3%

Como
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

30.4%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

31.1%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	57.1%	21.4%

Brescia - Como Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Como will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lezzerini L. (G) 32. Papetti A. 15. Cistana A. 14. Mangraviti M. 24. Dickmann L. 26. Bertagnoli M. 25. Bisoli D. 18. Jallow A. 23. Galazzi N. 9. Bianchi F. 29. Borrelli G.	1. Semper A. (G) 5. Curto M. 26. Odenthal C. 4. Solini M. 3. Sala M. 28. Abildgaard O. 14. Bellemo A. (C) 80. Vignali L. 90. Verdi S. 33. Da Cunha L. 10. Cutrone P.
Substitutes
28. Adorni D. 22. Andrenacci L. (G) 39. Besaggio M. 7. Bjarnason B. 31. Ferro M. 21. Fogliata R. 11. Moncini G. 27. Olzer G. 4. Paghera F. 5. Van de Looi T.	21. Arrigoni T. 8. Baselli D. 11. Blanco A. 84. Cassandro T. 27. Cerri A. 7. Chajia M. 17. Chinetti F. 9. Gabrielloni A. 99. Mustapha S. 31. Piombino M. (G) 32. Rispoli F. 22. Vigorito M. (G)
Coaches
Maran R.	Fabregas C.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brescia won 2.

Recent matches Brescia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Como in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Brescia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
10.12.23	Reggiana - Brescia	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Brescia - Sampdoria	3:1 ✺
28.11.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Brescia	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Pisa - Brescia	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Brescia - Cremonese	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWTTL
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
10.12.23	Como - Modena	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Como	0:1 ✺
28.11.23	Como - Lecco	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Como - FeralpiSalò	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Ascoli - Como	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
28.01.23	Brescia - Como	0:1
29.08.22	Como - Brescia	0:1
26.02.22	Como - Brescia	1:1
03.10.21	Brescia - Como	2:4
27.02.16	Brescia - Como	2:1
11.10.15	Como - Brescia	1:3

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